Friday, February 5, 2010

Chart of the Day - Job losses are over triple the average trough

The market reacted badly to two days of bad unemployment data. Although the technicals were warning anyway so the news is just that, news. For trading purposes we may want to think that some of the bad new is already baked into the markets; but still, thete can be surprises. Remaining aware of the economic situation is very important. Especially when quantified in ways that help compare against previous economic cycles. So here's "Chart if the Day" with another timely update of how the umployment data comparisons look - see the quote below for their chart and information, from: http://www.chartoftheday.com/20100205.htm:
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Chart of the Day - Job losses are over triple the average trough
February 5, 2010
Today, the Labor Department reported that nonfarm payrolls (jobs) decreased by 20,000 in January. Today's chart puts that decline into perspective by comparing job losses following the beginning of the current economic recession (solid red line) to that of the last recession (dashed gold line) and the average recession from 1950-1999 (dashed blue line). As today's chart illustrates, the current job market has suffered losses that are more than triple as much as what occurs at the lows of the average recession/job loss cycle. It is also worth noting that 25 months after an average recession/job loss cycle began during the second half of the 20th century, the job market recouped all losses and was already in process of adding new jobs. At the same 25 month mark during the 21st century, the job market was still suffering losses.

Notes:
- Where's the Dow headed? The answer may surprise you. Find out right now with the exclusive & Barron's recommended charts of Chart of the Day Plus.


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Quote of the Day
"Formal education will make you a living; self-education will make you a fortune." - Jim Rohn

Events of the Day
February 07, 2010 - Super Bowl XLIV
February 14, 2010 - Chinese New Year - Valentine's Day - NBA All-Star Game - Daytona 500
February 15, 2010 - President's Day - Washington's Birthday (observed)
February 16, 2010 - Mardi Gras
February 17, 2010 - Ash Wednesday


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