Well well ... Raymond Merriman warned us we'd have a "hard down" movement in stock markets after the initial days of June, and he was right! We'll see if this is prelude to a rally of some size, even if we end up visiting $SPX 1249 later on. Ray presents an interesting blend of financial astrology with cycles-based analysis that once again put investors and traders on the right side of a significant move this week. For another set of insights into what's going on and what we may expect next, we're happy to share his weekly public preview comments (below). These are in addition to his more detailed subscription services referenced in his announcements section and at his website. Ray's financial astrology forecasting analysis also references market cycles, economy, and even the political climate, to analyze stock markets around the world, bonds, currencies and commodities. He does also provide detailed paid subscription services (daily, weekly and monthly available, at his website always at the right side of the page here). Here are Ray Merriman's comments for the upcoming week, from his site at Merriman Market Analyst - MMA Cycles Weekly Preview Comments:
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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning June 13, 2011
Written by Raymond Merriman
The Market Week in Review
How do you make a sound of a train when it leaps off its tracks? What does a speeding sports car sound like when its lights go out, its accelerator gets stuck and it hits bend in the road? And suddenly its brakes get stuck too as it tries to slow down and get control of the situation? These are some of the images I have tried to convey of the “Asset Inflation Express” over the past year as the speculative planets Jupiter and Uranus moved together through the wild and independent sign of Aries. And these are the images I used to illustrate how it might sound when the express ended, when Jupiter left Aries for the much more cautious and practical sign of Taurus on June 4. As this train derails and skips to another track, there will be moments at first when it seems to be regaining control. But then new problems arise and the fears quickly return as tensions escalate. And this is always a problem, for humans are forever trying to de-escalate tense situations and avoid crises, but usually far after the point when it became obvious there would be a problem, and there would be crisis.
Last week witnessed most stock indices trying to gain control over a sell-off that started as Neptune turned retrograde on June 1, just a couple of trading days before Jupiter ended its one-year joy ride through Aries. Most of that speculative advance was the result of the Fed’s engineering last summer with QE2, it second round of Quantitative Easing. That policy announcement was released in the first week of August, 2010, at the astrological peak of the Cardinal Climax when Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto were all in the first degrees of cardinal signs, forming a spectacular T-square to each other. This type of cosmic pattern had not been seen since 1931, and it was part of an ongoing geocosmic development that started in 2008 and would last into 2015, just as it did from 1928 through 1934.
At the time the Fed made that monetary decision known as QE2, this column began to describe what it would be like: an “Asset Inflation Express” headed for an eventual derailing, a speedy sports can getting its accelerator stuck as it lights went out in the dark and a sharp bend in the road was approaching. At the time, most financial astrologers were disappointed that it didn’t produce an “event,” other than the extreme heat, drought and loss of wheat crop in Russia. This column, however, continued to point out that a decision was as important as an event, for it would lead to events later on – like when Jupiter left Aries and its shared domain there with Uranus.
And now here we are. Not only are we here and at the end of both Jupiter in Aries and the Fed’s QE2 policy, but it is ironic how they unfolded almost simultaneously, given the Cardinal Climax of five planets in early cardinal signs made a grand square to the Federal Reserve Board’s own natal Sun-Pluto opposition in 0-1 degrees of Capricorn-Cancer. It is even more ironic that as this express train starts to derails over the past couple of weeks, Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto are back into orb of that same T-square (Cardinal Climax) that was so important July 21-Augist 21, 2010, a time when “nothing spectacular” seemed to happen, but which is every bit as responsible for what is now occurring in equity indices around the world as is the world-wide debt bomb that has been lit and which leaders of banking and government have also known about since Spring 2010 and still haven’t taken measures yet to stop the progress of the lit fuse. The countdown to the USA technical default is a matter of just a few weeks now.
Equity markets reacted poorly last week, with many dropping to new lows for this year and others getting perilously close. The All Ordinaries of Australia and Hang Seng index of Hong Kong are making double bottoms to their lows of March 17. Japan, on the other hand is well above those lows.
In Europe, the Netherlands AEX index has taken out its lows of March 16, while the SMI of Zurich and FTSE of London are also getting close. The German DAX is still 500+ points higher than then, but it is now testing its major cycle lows of April 18.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ Composite are breaking below their lows of May 25 and April 18, but still up from the lows of mid-March. However, like their European counterparts, they were headed in that direction as the week ended with the DJIA below 12,000 for the first time since mid-March. The Merval stock index of Argentina fell below its March low, to its lowest level since November 2010. Only the Bovespa of Brazil and MICEX of Moscow performed rather well last week, at least until Friday.
There was significant activity in currencies last week too. The Euro rallied close to 1.4700 against the U.S. Dollar early last week (June 7), but then sold off sharply to close in the mid 143’s on Friday. Europe has its own unique problems these days, like how to get along with siblings who constantly mismanage their monies and need you to bail them out with loans from your account. It is particularly hard when you can’t force them out of the house because you forgot to put a clause in the original agreement that allows you to evict them – ever.
Welcome to the post “Asset Inflation Express” era. You wanted to know how it would feel, and the images conveyed on these pages over the past year are turning out to be pretty accurate. The next question on the table is whether the Fed will decide to save the economy and stock market with a round of QE3, or save the U.S. Dollar by restraining itself from becoming the equivalent of an entitlement program for banks. When – and why - did our central bank become such a co-dependent enabler, and at such a high expense to the savers of the country?
Short-Term Geocosmics
There is hope from above. If you are religious, I don’t need to preach this idea to you. But if you are looking for signs from the heavens – God’s writing on the walls of the solar system – there is the possibility of equity markets finding some support this week. Mars is in a sector of the skies that frequently coincides with the end of sharp declines within a week of now. Additionally Saturn turns stationary direct on Sunday, June 12. It ends its retrograde motion. Any planet changing its direction in the heavens (as seen from earth, because it never changes directions as seen from the Sun) is highlighted in terms of the psychological dynamics for the masses represented by that planet.
Saturn’s psychological dynamic is fear and worry, amongst other things (many positive). Markets that fall into strong Saturn periods will oftentimes find a bottom nearby, followed by a healthy rally. The question for Financial Astrologers will be how strong such a rally could be? If only corrective, it could end in just a few days, after which the fear returns.
Our attention thus shifts forward shortly after the summer solstice (June 21), when the Sun will form a grand square to that Saturn-Uranus-Pluto T-square, June 26-July 2. In the meantime, we will closely watch the powerful lunar eclipse taking place this week, June 15-16 depending where you are located. It should be quite spectacular for those in Eastern Europe and Asia that evening of June 15, early morning of June 16. If the skies are clear, the full moon should go dark around 9:14 PM, GMDT. This lunar eclipse takes place in Gemini-Sagittarius, two very volatile signs. The markets might be quite wild then. Maybe nature too.
Personal Astrology and Other Thoughts
Spending two months in Europe completing the writing of Volume 5 of the Stock Market Timing series has been an amazing experience. Of course, what makes it amazing from an astrological viewpoint is the transit of Uranus in early Aries, in square aspect to my natal Sun in early Capricorn. Like all early cardinal sign natives (Aries, Cancer, Libra, and Capricorn), I too am undergoing many new experiences. Just because I understand astrology doesn’t mean I can transcend or avoid the dynamics implied in these transits. Not that I would want to. I have written previously about the disruptive quality of Uranus on this trip. And now I would like share with you some other personal observations of being in a foreign land under a hard Uranus aspect. But back to my observations of differences I never knew existed before between the USA and the European countries that I am writing in.
First of all is the difference in their relationships. I am not talking about differences in personal relationships, which would be a whole book itself. I am talking about the differences between how Americans and Europeans relate to their dogs. The European dogs are truly amazing. They understand English much better than American dogs. The love affair between Europeans and their dogs is far more intense and prevalent than in America.
And then there is this particular area of Germany, near Cologne where I do a lot of writing on this trip, known as the Rhineland. The people are referred to as “Rhinelanders,” and they have a very unique (Uranian) way of behaving. Hey, I’ve got Uranus present right now in my life, so I should be meeting Uranian types of people. As an example, I heard the story the other day about a 12-year old Rhinelander who was sitting on the bus. You know, here the children used to be brought up to always give their seat to an elderly person who is standing. So this young Rhineland boy is sitting on the bus and in comes an elderly lady. There are no seats available. The bus comes to a stop and more people come on. It comes to a second stop, more people come on, and still the young Rhinelander does not leave, and the elderly woman standing in the aisle starts to get grumpy. After the third stop, the young boy still does not get up and offer his seat. Finally the exasperated lady says to him, “Young man. Aren’t you going to stand up?” To which the young Rhinelander replies, “Aha! I know this trick! If I get up, you will take my seat!” The Rhinelander is a truly Uranian character.
“What does this have to do with the future of the economy or financial markets?” you might ask. I don’t know. Perhaps even in difficult times, it is best to keep a sense of humor. With Uranus, you never know what is going to happen next, even if you know astrology. But the key to surviving it is to be adaptable and to see new circumstances as opportunities in disguise. Even in hard aspects, it is a good idea to keep a sense of humor and remind yourself that these things will pass quickly.
As the Rhinelander says, “It comes as it comes, and it goes as it goes. It may have been good before, and it may be good in the future, but the only thing that matters is whether it is good right now. And it always ends up good, so why worry too much about what it is today?” The old rules don’t apply, and if you try to enforce them, it will seem as if they trick you. Others won’t get up and offer you a seat if that is what you expect. But they will give you cause to laugh if you view it from the Rhinelander’s Zen-like perspective.
Announcements
If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF’s (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: “I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them.”
The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions – the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report – went out last week. If you are subscriber to any these monthly reports and did not receive it, let us know at once via our email at ordersmma@msn.com. The MMA Cycles Report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only. For further information and subscription, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/mma-cycles-report/. And remember: if you sign up for this report now, you will receive a free copy of the English version of the Forecasts 2011 Book while supplies last!
The writing of “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 5: Price Objectives and Technical Analysis”, is ahead of schedule now. It will probably be completed in the next week. After editing is done, it goes into print and should be out in September as planned, and maybe even sooner. This book will be approximately 250-275 pages, printed in perfect bind format, gloss cover, 8-1/2” x 11” size, and basically the same style as the other four volumes. The retail price at the time of publication will be $144.00. But as we are close to completion, we will now present a pre-publication price of $95.00 (plus postage) to those who place an order before July 15. There will be another pre-publication offer at $125.00 at that point until the printing is on the presses, at which time the price will be set at $144.00. This publication will complete the project that started in 1996, and covered approximately 1600 pages of studies and strategies for all types of traders and investors, using our market timing methods. In all, this is a complete and unified approach to analyzing (and trading) financial markets, and especially stock markets. The previous 4 volumes have been on “when” to buy and sell, or how to forecast a future cycle low or high. This last volume addresses the subject of “where” to buy and sell, or at what price to buy and sell. It is the art and science of “forecasting price targets.” It is the missing link to the first four volumes. It details the mathematical formulas and technical studies used to enhance timing of entry and exit in any market, but especially stock indices. If you are interested in this integrated methodology for analyzing and forecasting stock indices, you can save big bucks by ordering now at www.mmacycles.com, or http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/books/the-ultimate-book-on-stock-market-timing-volume-5/.
Special Offer!!! Good while supplies last! New or renewing subscribers to any MMA subscription services will receive FREE one copy of the “English version only” of the Forecasts 2011 Book (postage cost not included). This offer is available to all MMA subscription reports, except 2-issue versions of the MMA Cycles Report. This offer ends when the remaining copies are sold out, and it does not apply to the foreign translated versions unless announced on their respective websites. To get your free copy of Forecasts 2011 with a subscription to an MMA reports, simply go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services/. When you place order, mention “special offer” under the comments section of your order. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
There are still a few copies remaining of the Forecasts 2011 Book. Those remaining printed copies are now marked down to $35.00. They will be marked down further to $30.00 on July 1, should any still be available. The electronic book version of the book is also available via iPad, the iPhone 4, and Amazon Kindle, but those prices cannot be changed. The Amazon Kindle edition is available to anyone anywhere in the world. Just go to their bookstore and type in “Raymond Merriman” or “Forecast 2011.” It is available in Spanish as well. It is also available via ITunes if you have the Apple I Pad or I Phone 4. Both the English and Spanish versions are available in this format to any resident of Australia, Canada, France, Germany, United Kingdom, or the United States. If you are not a resident of these countries, you can still order it if you have an email address registered via one of these countries. Just go to iTunes, and then “Library,” then “Store,” then in the field titled “Search,” type in “Forecast 2011” or “Raymond Merriman” (without quotation marks).
Events:
August 13, 2011: San Francisco, CA. Financial Market Timing seminar, featuring Raymond Merriman and other market timers. It is on. Details to be announced shortly at www.tsaasf.org. Immediately afterwards will be a special meeting with MMA subscribers who are present.
January 6-7, 2012: Zurich Switzerland. Forecast 2012 Symposia sponsored by AstroData. Details to be announced shortly at http://www.mma-europe.ch/.
March 16-18, 2012: The 8th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a workshop on Financial Astrology with Raymond Merriman.
April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. “Forecast 2012” with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on “Financial Market Timing,” focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact dralagifts@msn.com.
May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world’s largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world.
September 22-29, 2012: The first annual “MMA International Cycles Summit on World Economy, Politics, and Financial Markets.” Location will be in Lake Bled, Slovenia, one of the most beautiful regions in the world. Details will be announced soon. It’s on!
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.
This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
Copyright MMACycles 2007-2011; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).
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