MMA Comments for the Week Beginning February 27, 2012
Written by Raymond Merriman
Note: I will be on a lecture tour in Hong Kong and Belgrade over the next three weeks. That means the weekly report will be issued before markets close on the next few Fridays. It also means I will be discussing these major transits and how they affect people with planets in early cardinal signs, like… me. I look forward to meeting several MMA subscribers in Hong Kong next week!
Note 2: Check out this week's edition of Forbes Magazine at http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2012/02/20/can-planets-affect-your-portfolio/.
Review and Preview
Things are heating up. It's a return to the "Asset Inflation Express." The last two three-star geocosmic critical reversal dates of January 18 and February 10 coincided with highs that were followed by declines lasting only a couple of days. These dates coincided with reversals that were much more impressive in other markets, like currencies, treasuries and even grain markets. They also coincided with explosive geopolitical events, especially involving the escalation of the debt crisis in Europe. But against these "Walls of Worry," equity prices keep rising after only short-term pauses.
Still, stock markets are late in their primary cycle. As demonstrated in the long-term research studies of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 1: Cycles and Patterns in the Indices," bull markets usually experience their steepest decline of a cycle in the third and final phase. This is still the third and final phase of the 4-year cycle, which began in March 2009. The third phase of this 4-year cycle began with the low of October 4, 2011, as Jupiter retrograded back to that part of the zodiac (0-7º Taurus) where long-term cycles tend to top out, according to the mean of Jupiter's filtered wave going back to 1872. But means and averages over such a long period of time can disguise instances that deviated from this mean (see Longer-Term Thoughts).
The major geocosmic signatures coming up this week will correspond to the release of the all-important payroll and unemployment reports, due on Friday, March 2. The following day, the Sun will form its 25-month opposition to Mars. According to the research studies reported in Volume 3 of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles," this is a powerful Level 1 signature (highest correlation to primary or greater cycles). Within 13 trading days, there is a 70% correlation to the culmination of a primary cycle. In the study of Financial Astrology, these two planets are fiery by nature. That is, they rule fire signs (Leo for the Sun, Aries for Mars). Thus this is a potential war-like period, and here too we see political tensions rising in the Middle East in regards to Iran and its threat to block the Straits of Hormuz. There might be something to this threat, as observed in the sharp rise of crude oil prices the past three weeks. Crude is now trading close to 110/barrel.
The very next day – Sunday, March 4 – Venus will make an opposition to Saturn, which is another strong Level 1 signature. This one has a 71% historical correlation to primary or greater cycles within 13 trading days, and usually much less. This combination pertains to financial worries. Venus rules all things of value, like equities and one's bank account. Saturn's nature is to restrict, retard, repress and contract. But at the opposition, financial matters can peak (oppositions can coincide with peaks in markets). In other words, if equity prices are rising into a Venus-Saturn opposition, the sentiment may suddenly detour from the euphoria that is reflective of the Sun in Pisces, to a more worried outlook indicated by Venus with Saturn. Optimism can give way to fear, not only in matters of finances, but also in matters of love, another Venus domain. It is especially troubling when the two areas of life interact with one another. If you promised him/her a reward or support of some kind, you better deliver - or face the consequences. Message to world leaders: this is not a favorable time to change the terms of an expected agreement or support.
There are still two weeks left for Jupiter to remain in 0-7º Taurus, a zodiacal time frame that correlates to long-term cycle crests when averaged out over the past 140 years. However, after studying individual cases of Jupiter in this sector of the sky prior to the past 25 years, it became apparent that there were exceptions. And what is most interesting is that the most notable exceptions occurred when hard aspects between Uranus and Pluto were nearby. That only happens four times during the 112-142 year cycle of these two powerhouses.
In the study of astrology, hard aspects are defined as the time of a conjunction, waxing square, opposition, and waning square between two planets. Uranus and Pluto started their cycle with the conjunction of 1965-1966. The waxing square (first quarter cycle phase) between them will commence on June 24, 2012, and last through March 17, 2015. During that time they will make seven exact square aspects. That is a lot! The previous hard aspect (before the conjunction) was the waning square, which took place five times between April 21, 1932 and January 18, 1934, the height of the "Great Depression."
The 1932-34 instance was preceded by the then all-time stock market high on September 2, 1929. This was a case where the market's advance did not stop within 7º of the Aries-Taurus cusp, or border. The stock market exploded upwards until Jupiter reached 14º of Gemini nearly a year later.
The 1965-66 instance coincided with the first time the Dow Jones Industrial Average touched 1000 in January-February 1966, right in the midst of the Uranus-Pluto conjunction passages. But once again, Jupiter had already passed through early Taurus over a year before that. It topped out when Jupiter had retrograded back to 23º Gemini. The DJIA didn't touch 1000 again for 7 years. There might be something to the idea that stock prices explode higher after Jupiter leaves early Taurus, if a Uranus-Pluto hard aspect is nearby. But in both cases, and so many other cases, the stock market still fell hard into a long-term cycle low after Jupiter entered Leo. This time, that will occur after July 2014.
What is the lesson in this exercise, applied to the current situation? Generally speaking, the stock market is due to make an important long-term cycle crest between now and June 2013. More specifically, if it continues higher after March 2012 (and probably after March 7, 2012), it may continue to explode higher until Jupiter reaches mid-Gemini, sometime between August 2012 and June 2013. This matter is covered in greater detail in last week's Forecast 2012 webinar, which is now available for viewing in its entirety as an on-line broadcast, through March 20 (see announcements below).
Perhaps the more important question is: why might the stock market rally strongly past March 2012? It's an election year, so just put the pieces together. Who wins and who loses with a robust stock market? The answer provides one of the reasons why I think the incumbent is likely to win again, and why this time the Jupiter in early Taurus may not work. However, there is still time for it to work, and not only is the stock market in the last phase of 4-year cycle, but it is also in the last phase of the primary cycle (15-23 week cycle in the S&P averages). Remember: in last phase of bull markets, the market will exhibit its most bearish characteristics. The steepest decline always takes place in the last phase of a bull market cycle. And when these last phases also contain strong rallies, the decline is even steeper. The higher prices go in the last phase of a cycle, the harder they fall when the bubble pops. It is often a case of suddenly realizing that the emperor has no clothes.
There is a good article in Forbes magazine on Financial Astrology. I am part of this excellent report. Check it out at http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2012/02/20/can-planets-affect-your-portfolio/.
The "Forecast 2012" webcast of Sunday, February 19 went extremely well. Perhaps it was our best webcast ever, according to feedback received. The entire broadcast is available as a historical archive until March 20. That is, you can view the presentation in its entirety – with slides, video, and questions and answers – as often as you want until March 20. The cost to get into the archive is $45.00 (no postage). If you would like a DVD or CD of the presentation for your library, they too are now available for $59.95 and $45.00 respectively, plus postage. Just go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/dvd%27s,-cd%27s-and-archived-broadcast-of-forecast-2012-webcast-now-available!!!/. Or go to our home page at www.mmacycles.com and scroll down to the announcement. For those ordering CD's, a PDF file of the charts will be emailed along with the order. "I just wanted to say that Ray's presentation was EXCELLENT! Great presentation and the WEBINAR was outstanding. Once again…THANK YOU!" Matt M., trader, Boulder, CO.
NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD!!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012," held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English. The following presentations are included on this CD: "2012 End Time of Dawning" by Irma Schogt (20 minutes);"Happy New Year" by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board); "2012=The Center of the Storm" by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology); "Forecast for 2012" by Raymond Merriman (1 hour). Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/cd%27s-now-available-on-the-forecast-2012-mini%11congress-in-amsterdam,-january-21,-2012/, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.
If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $850,000. Thanks for your excellent publications." - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.
Copies of the printed version of Forecast 2012 are still available. The E-Book version of the Forecast 2012 Book is also in two different formats. The first is our own version, which contains both the text and the calendar-ephemeris for 2012. The cost for this is $55.00. The second is through Apple iTunes, which covers iPhone 4 and 4S, and the iPad, and also Amazon.com Kindle. The cost is $39.99. It does not contain the advertisements or the planetary calendar and ephemeris in the back. You can now order it if you have an email address registered via one of these 9 countries (USA, UK, Australia, France, Canada, Italy, Portugal, Slovenia, and Spain). Just go to iTunes, and then "Library," then "Store," then in the field titled "Search," type in "Forecast 2012" or "Raymond Merriman" (without quotation marks). Or, go to http://itunes.apple.com/us/artist/raymond-merriman/id408289861?mt=11. "After reading the annual Forecasts and subscribing to MMA Cycles for the past ten years, I can say that Ray Merriman's forecasts are uncannily accurate and indispensable for the preservation of wealth. Nothing else I've seen compares. It is without a doubt the best perspective on the big picture, not just bits and pieces of the picture."W.W., Investor and Teacher, Indiana.
Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.
March 1 and 3, 2012: Hong Kong. "Forecast 2012" on Thursday, March 1, and a full day intensive on "Financial Market Timing" on Saturday, March 3, with emphasis on Gold, Silver, Currencies, and Equity Markets for 2012. Organized by Earlthorn.Com at the Excelsior Hotel, Causeway Bay, Hong Kong. Contact Teresa Wong at 852-2529 1211 (phone), or by e-mail at email@example.com. A special 90-minute private meeting with MMA Subscribers will follow the workshop on March 3. Looking forward to meeting our Hong Kong subscribers next week!!!
March 9-11, 2012: The 12th Annual Balkan International Conference, Belgrade, Serbia. Featuring a pre-seminar workshop with Raymond Merriman. For further information on this fantastic gathering, contact www.keplerunited.org. +381-11-267-31-92 or email firstname.lastname@example.org.
April 19 and 21, Boulder, Colorado. "Forecast 2012" with Raymond Merriman, plus a workshop on "Financial Market Timing," focusing on equities and precious metals. Sponsored by ROMA. For more information and registration, contact email@example.com. Once again, a private meeting for MMA subscribers will follow the workshop. Please let us know if you plan to attend the subscribers' meeting afterwards.
April 27: Scottsdale, AZ. Evening presentation on "Political, Economic and Financial Markets Outlook for 2012." Details soon.
May 24-29, 2012: UAC!!! The world's largest astrological conference. Taking place at the New Orleans Marriott Hotel. Go to www.uacastrology.com. There will be an awesome Financial Track, featuring some of the top Financial Astrologers and researchers in the world. There will be private meeting for MMA on Friday or Sunday evening on the top floor of the Marriott.
June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold." 11:00 AM – 5:00 PM, Victoria Hotel. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop you will not want to miss! For further information and sign up, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/blog/workshop-gold-and-silver-amsterdam for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then!
August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, inAnn Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.
September 14-15, 2012: San Diego: Lecture on world economy and national election, and then a workshop on Financial Market Timing. More details shortly.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.
This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
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