Friday, June 15, 2012

Calm before the storm? Raymond Merriman's 6/18/12 week preview comments

Indeed, something different DID start this past week! Will the financial markets give us more clues about whether it's a bullish reversal, or just an oversold rally? Especially since the bond market doesn't seem convinced yet…. For insight, let's look at Raymond Merriman's preview comments (thanks again, Ray!). These discussions of stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, crude oil, and other financial and economic matters are in addition to his analyses of other countries' markets, economy, and the social and political climate. Ray also provides detailed paid subscription services (daily, weekly and monthly) for the various markets, at his website always at the right side of the page. Here are Ray's comments for the upcoming week, from his site at Merriman Market Analyst - MMA Cycles Weekly Preview Comments:
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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning June 18, 2012

Written by Raymond Merriman

Review and Preview

Instead of going down into the Uranus-Pluto square and Venus direct period of June 24-27, it appears that world stock markets want to go up. However, whenever Uranus is involved, financial markets can do things that very few traders or analysts anticipate, and this can happen very suddenly. Three things are characteristic of markets then. First, they could reverse. Second, they could break above resistance in a torrid rally higher and faster than anyone thought. Third, they could break below support and fall much further and faster than anyone thought (except, perhaps those who study Financial Astrology or other systems that indicate this possibility so strongly in the next two weeks). It makes for exciting times, but you don't know whether the profit is in positioning oneself for a reversal or a breakout. Those who trade stocks or commodities with options might consider various spreads that could profit if either of these outcomes happens. But spreads - like retrograde planetary time bands in general (like this Venus one right now) – can have the experience that things become complicated very quickly. You better know what you are doing when you deal with spreads involving options. It can be done and it can be done profitably in this type of scenario, but you have to be timely and nimble.

The intense Venus occultation and lunar eclipse period of June 4-6 produced quite a turn in many financial markets. As we look back, we see that a large number of world stock indices recently bottomed June 4-5, and many have been moving up since then (nearly two weeks). However a good number of them topped out June 8-11 too and didn't make new weekly highs on Friday, June 15, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average. We could be seeing a case of intermarket bearish divergence if more of them don't make new monthly highs on Monday.

The rally of last week is still within the definition of a corrective rally in a bear market, time-wise. But it is getting close to not being a normal bear market corrective rally, price-wise, for some like the DJIA. Hence, here enters Uranus. We are still a week away from a normal reversal zone. The heavy line-up takes place June 23-29. If we are near resistance and a breakout point, how much higher can it get by then? And will it even reverse then or just explode higher? Or, is the high right now and instead it falls lower than anyone thought after early next week? These scenarios are all possible given these geocosmic signatures in effect last week and then June 22-29.

It is not only stocks that are rallying under Venus retrograde and into the huge June 23-29 geocosmic cluster – the most intense gathering of geocosmic signatures this entire year, in my opinion, and perhaps the most intense we will see until the week of April 21, 2014. Why so intense? Well, because Pluto –the planet of intensity – is involved with Uranus, the planet of high voltage energy. This climate seems to be good for Gold too, which refuses to sell off back to the 1530 lows of May 15-16, when Venus turned retrograde. When markets bottom on the date of the retrograde Venus, they will often rally until at least the date of the direct, +/- 1 week. In this case, that will be June 27. But this may be a time where Gold just keeps on rising (see Short-Term Geocosmics).

Best Trades of the Past Week

Over the past few weekly columns, I have been inserting trading recommendations we have made to our subscribers in the prior week. Readers seem to like this type of information to just see how accurate these reports, based on our unique timing methods, have been in many cases.

Weekly subscription report for week of June 11, on the nearby Crude Oil contract: "Position traders are flat and may go long at 81.00-82.00 with a stop-loss on a close below 79.50." Aggressive traders may follow the same instructions as position traders." The low was 81.07 on Tuesday. By Friday, it was up to 84.80.

Short-Term Geocosmics and Longer-Term Thoughts

"In a time of universal deceit, telling the truth is a revolutionary act." – George Orwell, 1984, current copyright, publication date and publisher, unsure.

Venus is still retrograde through June 27, and so many markets are still undecided about what their trend really is (other than Gold). Last week witnessed a very rare phenomenon in stock indices where they alternated rather sharply up and down for five consecutive days (Friday, June 8, through Thursday, June 14). Then they started a substantial rally Thursday to new weekly highs, at least in the DJIA (but not confirmed with the S&P or NASDAQ futures, plus many other world stock indices). This is typical of Venus retrograde, and perhaps especially so with both the Sun and Jupiter in Gemini.

This week is the celestial calm before the cosmic storm. Not much is happening this week other than a new moon on Tuesday, June 19 and the summer solstice starting on June 20 when the Sun enters Cancer. Several heliocentric planets (planetary positions as seen from the Sun, not the Earth) are now changing signs. Helio Mars entered Scorpio on June 14, helio Venus entered Capricorn on June 15, and helio Mercury will enter Libra on June 17. Heliocentric Mars in Scorpio will last through August 14 and may be interesting, since its geocentric transit (planets as seen from Earth) through Scorpio often corresponds to sharp rallies in Gold. But that geocosmic placement doesn't begin until August 23 this year. If both are bullish (as is the historical correlation from the geocentric viewpoint), then Gold could rally substantially. We will discuss the history of this set up at next weekend's Gold and Silver workshop in Amsterdam, and give our projections (percentage-wise) for Gold over the next couple of months (and years) based on those studies. We will also discuss Silver's historically bullish performance when heliocentric Mercury is in Sagittarius, a combination that will unfold next month. Keep your eye on Gold, for very large price movements are scheduled to begin soon on the basis of several geocosmic and cycle studies.

Yet all of the geocosmic factors unfolding this week are simply a prelude for the following week. In fact, it will be a challenge to describe all of the possibilities that could happen June 23-29, and even a week or two before and after, for planetary patterns of this type don't often complete their correspondence to human activity until well after the cosmic event. This time band begins with a gentle Sun-Neptune trine aspect on Saturday, June 23. This aspect has actually a rather strong correlation to reversals in stock prices within 10 trading days. But its symbolism is very modest in comparison to what happens the next day, June 24, when the first passage of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square unfolds. This column has been describing the explosive quality of this combination for the past several months, even years. There is nothing in astrology that even remotely conveys the possibility of social unrest and political upheaval in the world as Uranus and Pluto in a hard aspect. The last time they were in a hard aspect (conjunction) to one another was in 1965-1966. The time before that was 1931-1934 (waning square). As stated, this is only the first passage this time around. Due to their retrograde motions, they will make seven passes in all, lasting through March 17, 2015. It would be unusual to see something explosive break out next week on just the first passage, but due to the other powerful geocosmic signatures in effect June 23-29, it is certainly possible.

The following day – Monday, June 25 - Jupiter will form a waxing square to Neptune and Saturn will turn direct. Both of these are Level 1 geocosmic signatures, which means they have very high (70% or greater) correlations to primary or greater cycles in stock markets within 9 and 11 trading days respectively. These are two contradictory principles, which make the interpretation of this period so challenging. Jupiter-Neptune is oftentimes "irrationally exuberant," while Saturn stationary is usually "irrationally pessimistic" or worried. When they occur together, "irrational exuberance" could morph into hysteria and loss of control. With Uranus present in its square to Pluto, the danger is a "panic" if cool heads don't prevail.

It doesn't end there. I mean, there is more – three days and three aspects more. On June 27, Venus ends its retrograde period and returns to direct motion. Historically this has a 73% correlation to primary or greater cycles within 10 trading days. One would normally look forward to a Venus station as a time of love and agreement. But with Saturn also stationary within three days, it leans more towards disappointment and break down in agreements. One side feels manipulated, and it is hard to have love and agreement when both parties are not feeling it mutually. Of course with Jupiter square Neptune, both parties may not immediately be fully conscious of what they just agreed to. It sounded good in principle, but the "devil is in the details," and then one party may realize later there was a "sleight of hand trick" inserted into the contract.

But it doesn't end there either. It ends (temporarily) on or around June 29, when the transiting Sun hits the Uranus-Pluto square, forming a cardinal T-square. That is, the Sun will square Uranus and be in opposition to Pluto on that Friday. This is known as a "translation of the Sun" to the Uranus-Pluto square. And both of these aspects are also Level 1 signatures. The Sun-Uranus square is especially powerful, with an 82% historical correlation to primary or greater reversals in stock indices within 11 trading days.

The whole combination of these celestial phenomena suggests that within two weeks of June 26, there will be "a whole of shaking going on." The Earth may move, and so may many financial markets and the security of many political leaders' position. At its worst, this is a highly deceptive and untrustworthy time between people (like political leaders), because one side is intentionally misleading the other. At its best, it is a time when deceptive practices are revealed, and the truth comes out, resulting in a revelation from which powerful and constructive changes may now begin to transpire. This can also be a period of further credit downgrades of major companies and nations. On the one hand, these are exciting times when innovative new ideas are brought to the fore. On the other hand, these are dangerous times when trust is at a premium. Do you really that person who has your back?

Announcements

June 23: A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver." 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/workshop-gold-silver, or call 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at31 (02) 294-415-918 to register for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited! And a special bonus through Monday, June 4!!! A 45 € discount will be extended until Monday, June 4!!! As of this writing, there are about 20 people registered for this special event. Come join us and learn where Gold prices are headed in the next six months and next six years!

I have written an article on "Uranus and Pluto: The Exploding Debt Crisis" that was recently published in The Mountain Astrologer. You can now read this article on our web site at http://www.mmacycles.com/articles/articles/uranus-square-pluto%3a-the-consequences-of-the-debt-explosion/.

This month's MMA Cycles Report came out last week. If you subscribe to this report and did not yet receive it, please contact MMA office at once. The MMA Cycles Report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only, and will be available one day later. For further information and subscription, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/mma-cycles-report/. If you are not a subscriber, you can order a 2-month trial basis for only $50.00.

The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing," September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, which will begin in April 6-8, 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study – 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers), or $50.00 to audit. This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into MMTA by October 15, 2012.

The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is now available!!! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating 1) Market Timing studies, 2) Price Objective calculations, 3) Technical Analysis, 4) Pattern Recognition studies, and 5) Trend Analysis. The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining the forthcoming Venus retrograde period (May 15-June 27), the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD workshop is $180.00 plus postage. To order, please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/dvd-of-boulder-workshop-on-financial-market-timing!!!/. Or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing – especially in the next few months – this is a presentation you will not want to miss!

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $850,000. Thanks for your excellent publications." - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.

Our 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

EVENTS:

June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver." 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. You may also register by calling 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at 31 (02) 294-415-918. Register now as seating is limited!

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, Holiday Inn, 3600 Plymouth Rd, in beautiful Ann Arbor, Michigan. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology and Financial Market Timing with Raymond Merriman on Thursday, August 2. Featuring over 20 astrologers, including Michael Lutin, Chris McRae, Bob Thibodeau, Dennis Fairchild, Monica Dimino, Richard Smoot, Grace Morris and others. For more information, call 303-828-5445, 303-604-2777, or email macasrtrology@yahoo.com, or go to http://macastrology.tripod.com/.

September 15-16, 2012: Troy, Michigan. MMTA – the Merriman Market Timing Academy – will conduct its pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing." Deadline for registration to this workshop is September 1, 2013. For further information, please visit http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/events/%93basic-principles-of-geocosmic-studies%94-workshop-september-15%1116,-2012/, or the bottom of the opening page on www.mmacycles.com. Or contact mmacustomerservice@gmail.com or ordersmmma@msn.com,

April 6-8, 2013: MMTA Course 1: "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM – 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM – 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

June 15-17, 2013: MMTA Course 2: "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

August 10-12, 2013: MMTA Course 3: "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

October 12-14, 2013: MMTA Course 4: "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007-2012; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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