Friday, June 1, 2012

Darker clouds forming in stock market forecast: Raymond Merriman's 6/4/12 week preview comments

Fibonacci projections helped me see that the stock market needed to continue lower to today's levels. But even if a bounce happens, the potential for yet more downside actually remains. Raymond Merriman discusses this and more in his preview comments this weekend (thanks again, Ray!). These discussions of stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, crude oil, and other financial and economic matters are in addition to his analyses of other countries' markets, economy, and the social and political climate. Ray also provides detailed paid subscription services (daily, weekly and monthly) for the various markets, at his website always at the right side of the page. Here are Ray's comments for the upcoming week, from his site at Merriman Market Analyst - MMA Cycles Weekly Preview Comments:
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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning June 4, 2012

Written by Raymond Merriman

Review and Preview

Stock markets around the world are starting to react to the devastating consequences of the world wide debt explosion, as anticipated by the approaching Uranus-Pluto waxing squarer aspect that begins its first of seven passages this month, June 2012. It would be one thing to say, "I told you so," for surely those of you who have been reading this column over the past year are fully aware that this 33-month geocosmic signature will be in effect June 2012-March 2015. You know that these two planetary powerhouses came within 1 degree of exactness last July-August, 2011, when the agonizing compromise to finally raise the USA debt ceiling was finally passed, only to be followed by the first downgrade of the USA triple A credit rating in its history by S&P's rating agency the next week. Stock markets around the world plummeted.

But it is an entirely different matter to figure out what to do in this type of financial crisis if you are not a trader or one who is comfortable shorting world stock indices. Truly, there are no safe, risk-free investments available anywhere, for the first time in generations. Oh, you will hear more than usual amount of hype for "deals of the century," but that only points out the increase of scams that will be thrown at people who still have money but don't know what to do with it (you know, the 1% who are about to be hit with massive taxes, along with the rest of us, a fact that is equally behind this meltdown that is underway).

The key is to "protect your capital," which is the mantra anyway when Saturn is in its waning phase to Pluto (2001-2020). It's not like the waxing phase (1947-1966, 1982-2001) when the mantra was to "invest your capital" in things like stock markets. It is totally different now, especially since Saturn reached its waxing square to Pluto in 2010 and the Federal Reserve began its quantitative easing programs to not only keep short-term rates down close to zero, but to the point now that the 10-year Treasuries are closing in on a paltry 1.5%, a record low in yields.

The way things are going, you may soon have to pay the banks interest to hold your savings, for the rule book on intelligent investing that has reigned for centuries has been turn upside down on its head. You were taught to save your money and invest in property all of your life, only to see that by doing so in the past five years has resulted in a nightmare of terrible losses in your net worth and earned interest income. But unbeknownst to government leaders, it has also resulted in a 16% decline in federal revenues between 2008 and 2011 too, only adding to the mountain of USA (and world) debt. Savers and property owners have been punished, although that trend is nearing its end according to my understanding of Financial Astrology, as the Moon's North Node has left the depression signs of Aquarius and Capricorn. And now it is about to hit the world stock markets again.

Welcome to the first of 33 months of Uranus square Pluto. You will never be the same, nor will the world have a clue as to what to do because 1) things aren't the same so there is nothing to refer to this unless you go back to the last Uranus-Pluto square of 1931-1934, when leaders had no clue what to do, and 2) the things that will work require patience and a long-range plan, and politicians don't have patience because voters don't have patience.

But here is the good news: late 2012 (after the election) through 2013, there is an astrological time window when a long-range practical plan to stop this bleeding can be developed. It will take 5-8 years (until Saturn and Pluto converge in January 2020) to see the results from the sacrifices that will be required in this plan. In the meantime, a question to seriously ask is: why do we need banks? And what should their proper role be in a healthy economy and society that values democratic principles and equality? Pluto rules debts and banks, and Capricorn rules government. Pluto in Capricorn holds the key to turning this corner, and that corner is usually reached by the middle of the 15-year transit, which happens in 2015 (the actual 248-year transit of Pluto in Capricorn is in effect 2008-2023).

It is interesting to note that as stock markets around the world got hit hard last week, the precious metals markets took off to the upside. They decoupled, as we suggested they would eventually. Gold was up $60.00/ounce just on Friday alone. In the last week, it was threatening to break below its triple bottom at 1520-1540. By Friday, it was up to 1630. So, Mr. Central Bankers: do you still think Gold is not real currency, real money? As stated all along. Gold has no where to go but up in the long-term as long as currency markets are unstable. And the European currencies are indeed unstable as Europe struggles to find a way to support the banks of the Euro Zone and prevent potential bank runs in some of its member nations. Its all part of the last eight years of the Saturn-Pluto waning phase, and especially strong now that Uranus (planet of crisis) will enter into an exact square to Pluto (planet of death, debt, and rebirth).

Best Trades of the Past Week

Over the past few weekly columns, I have been inserting trading recommendations that were made to our subscribers overe the prior week. Readers seem to like this type of information as to just how accurate these reports have been in many cases. I think I will just add a new feature to this column called: "Best Trades of the Last Week."

Weekly subscription report for last week, May 28: "Position traders may look to sell DJIA short at 12,610 or higher with a stop loss on a close above 12,750. Aggressive traders may look to sell short at 12,610 or higher with a stop-loss on a close above 12,750." The high of the week was 12,611. It closed the week at 12,118. It doesn't get any better than this – anywhere.

Daily report for May 21: "Aggressive traders are also long in Gold with a stop-loss now on a close below 1540. Let's take handsome profits on 1/3 of these now, and look to buy back if prices drop to 1540-1555." On May 21, Gold topped out at 1599. On May 23, it dropped to 1532.80, but never closed below 1540. Today, Friday, June 1, Gold is up to 1630 and this trade is now up about 80/contract in one week.

Short-Term Geocosmics

The most heavily populated time band of some of the most powerful geocosmic signatures of 2012 will take place June 23-29, including the first passage of Uranus in waxing square to Pluto, Venus and Saturn both turning direct, and Jupiter in a waxing square to Neptune. These are the kind of signatures that can correspond to a market meltdown. This time band represents the strongest "magnet effect" of all coming up, a force that just increases in its energy, resulting in a collective psychological climax during that period, +/- one week.

Prior to that, we have quite a setup developing this week (and the next week) too. On Monday, June 4, there is a lunar eclipse, with Venus retrograde square Mars, and Neptune turning retrograde. It is a time of potential hysteria, and a challenge to find the truth about accusations that will be thrust upon unsuspecting parties. It is a strange time for love – lots of activity, but who can you trust? On Tuesday evening, Wednesday morning, Venus will make its very rare occultation (eclipse) with the Sun. The past two times this happened were 1761-1769, and 1874-1882 (in the midst of the last Uranus-Pluto in waxing square, and the longest economic depression in the history of the USA). It happens in pairs that are 8 years apart. The first part of this pairing occurred in June 2004. This is the second part of that pairing.

On Thursday, June 7, the Sun will form a combative square to Mars. The following Monday, June 11, Jupiter will begin its one-year sojourn through Gemini, while Mercury forms a T-square to the Uranus-Pluto square, This is yet another signature of a potential "plunge" day for stocks, and another preview of what to expect during the entire Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012 through March 17, 2015.

Longer-Term Thoughts and Transit Tales

I had a good week. But why wouldn't I? After all, Jupiter in late Taurus is approaching a favorable trine to my natal Ascendant in late Virgo, and it is crossing into my ninth house of education, seminars, and travel.

So here I was Monday night, in New Orleans, sitting at a table with 10 of my dearest friends in Astrology and Finance, at the grand Regulus Banquet that occurs on the last night of every UAC gathering. For those who are unfamiliar with UAC (United Astrology Conference), this is the largest gathering of professional astrologers and students of astrology in the world. It takes place every four years (election year) and is host to about 1500 practitioners from over 50 countries. It is truly a remarkable and high energy event that lasts 5 days and delivers about 300 lectures on 18 different tracks, including Financial Astrology.

On Monday night, the Regulus Banquet takes place. Five Regulus Awards are presented for contributions in five different areas. This is Astrology's equivalent to the Oscars in the movie world. There are five candidates for each award. I was up for the Regulus Award in "Research, Discovery, and Innovation." I was excited, as was everyone at my table. But I didn't get it. It went to Robert Blaschke, a good friend and a truly original thinker who passed away a few months ago. I know Robert well enough to know he wouldn't mind me saying this but… never run against the recently deceased.

So OK, that was that and I was happy it went to Robert. He was deserving of this award. Later on the last Regulus Award was for "Enhancing Astrology's Professional Image," a category that I had previously been awarded in 1995. To my surprise and delight, this award this year went to Chris McRae of Edmonton, Alberta, Canada. Chris served as my Vice-President when I presided over ISAR (The International Society of Astrological Research) in 1998-2008, and she continues in that role to the current president today. In her acceptance speech, she gave a special acknowledgement to all of the help I gave her in developing the professional aspect of her role in astrology. It was very special and moving moment which more than made up for my slight disappointment in not receiving the Regulus Award for Research. I was happy and feeling Jupiter's benevolent position in my chart.

But it wasn't over. There was one more award to give that superseded all of the other five Regulus awards. It was a Lifetime Achievement Award, which had been granted to only three astrologers prior to this UAC. Unbeknownst to any of us, there were to be two of these lifetime achievement awards granted this night. Halfway through the introduction of the first of these two awards, I suddenly realized that they were talking about…. me! Oh oh.... What a surprise – and honor!! I – along with my dear friend and colleague Michael Lutin of Vanity Fair fame - was granted a Lifetime Achievement Award by our colleagues for our lifetime contributions to the field of astrology. I am truly humbled for this recognition. And after all, I am proud to be an Astrologer - a Financial Astrologer and also a marekt analytst and timer who uses astrology in his calculations.

And by the way, the conference closed with a specially selected panel on the 2012 USA presidential election. I was the emcee of this closing panel, as I was in 2008 when all six panelists selected Barack Obama as the likely victor in that year's election. Once again, all five of this year's panelists cited their reasons why Barack Obama would win again. I asked each of them to give their probabilities for their forecast. They ranged from 70% (Claude Weiss of Zurich) to 90+%. They also mostly agreed that the results of this year's election would be contested, and not fully known for several days afterwards, much like in 2000. Mercury was retrograde on Election Day in the disputed results of 2000, and it will be again on Election Day 2012. I concluded the panel's discussion by stating that in November 2012, we will know if astrologers are truly very, very good at this, or very biased from a liberal standpoint. That got a laugh.

Maybe most astrologers are liberal, and maybe I am more conservative than most (although I think of myself as an independent and moderate). But, in my view, I am not so nearly confident of an Obama victory as my colleagues. My studies favor Obama with perhaps a 55% confidence rate, and that could change if the economy continues to go down, especially with Uranus (upsets and change of leadership) to Pluto (economic hard times and debt). My own final forecast on this election will be made around September 20. I need to see how voters and candidates react to this Uranus-Pluto signature before I make up my mind.

In the meantime, it was good to be with this community of brilliant thinkers over the past week. It once again shows that people of different ideologies can get along, can respect one another, and can have a productive dialogue. If only Congress and the White House could observe the astrological community at work… Yes, even Capricorns and Aries can get along.

Announcements

June 23: A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver." 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is €345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/workshop-gold-silver, or call 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at31 (02) 294-415-918 to register for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! This will be special, and a great opportunity to meet some very impressive market timers who will be present. Register now as seating is limited! And a special bonus through Monday, June 4!!! A 45 € discount will be extended until Monday, June 4!!! As of this writing, there are about 20 people registered for this special event. Come join us and learn where Gold prices are headed in the next six months and next six years! Recently I announced that I will be starting a new direction in life over the next two years, involving a mentor-apprenticeship program on Financial Market Timing and Analysis, according to the unique methodology I have developed over the past 30+ years. I didn't expect any response yet, as we are still developing the format. But… there has been a huge response! We know we are behind the curve on getting out information on this rapidly developing project, but we are working out the details and more announcements will be made shortly. So far we have determined that the training will take place over eight weekends stretching from 2013-2014. The dates for 2013 have now been selected. They are: April 6-8, June 15-17, Aug 10-12, and Oct 12-14. The 2014 schedule will be determined in 2013. These 8 sessions will be the only time that Raymond Merriman will give this entire training in person. Applications for the "On Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) are being accepted now. There will be an introductory training session, September 15-16 in Troy, Michigan (see below). For more information, or an application form, please contact Amber Lundsten at ordersmma@msn.com, call 1-248-626-3034, or go to http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/latest-news/ray-merriman%92s--online-market-timing-academy-%28olmta%29/, or scroll down the opening page (next page) of www.mmacycles.com. Raymond Merriman's "On-Line Market Timing Academy" (OLMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing," September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the OLMTA market training course, as developed and instructed by Raymond Merriman. The OLMTA two-year training course will begin in April 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study – 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). We will make announcements as this training program unfolds. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers). This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who apply and are accepted into OLMTA by late October 2012.

The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is now available!!! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating 1) Market Timing studies, 2) Price Objective calculations, 3) Technical Analysis, 4) Pattern Recognition studies, and 5) Trend Analysis. The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining the forthcoming Venus retrograde period (May 15-June 27), the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD workshop is $180.00 plus postage. To order, please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/dvd-of-boulder-workshop-on-financial-market-timing!!!/. Or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing – especially in the next few months – this is a presentation you will not want to miss!

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $850,000. Thanks for your excellent publications." - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.

NEW! Now available Mini-Congress 'Outlook for 2012' on CD!!! Recordings of the congress "Outlook for 2012," held January 21, 2012 in Amsterdam, are now available on CD, with audio and PDFs of PowerPoint slides. All lectures are spoken in English. The following presentations are included on this CD: "2012 End Time of Dawning" by Irma Schogt (20 minutes);"Happy New Year" by Drs. Karen Hamaker-Zondag (20 minutes , regarding ECB and Federal Reserve Board); "2012: The Center of the Storm" by Antonia Langsdorf (20 minutes, regarding Mayan calendar and astrology); "Forecast for 2012" by Raymond Merriman (1 hour). Total length 2 hours, with PowerPoint slides sent online in a PDF document. Cost is $55.00 plus postage. Please go to http://www.mmacycles.com/the-news/about-mma/cd%27s-now-available-on-the-forecast-2012-mini%11congress-in-amsterdam,-january-21,-2012/, or www.mmacycles.com for ordering info.

Our new 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

EVENTS:

June 23: Amsterdam. A special 5-hour workshop on "The Gold Market: Forecasting the Future Price of Gold and Silver." 1:00 PM – 6:00 PM, Hotel Park Plaza Victoria. Amsterdam, Damrak 1-5, Amsterdam 1012 LG, Netherlands. Sponsored by Schogt Market Timing. This is a special workshop on precious metals you will not want to miss!!! Cost is € 345 ex VAT. Subscribers of any MMA reports (trials excluded) receive a 15% discount. For further information, please go to http://www.markettiming.nl/en/producten/workshop-gold-silver for an exciting event in one of the world's most exciting cities at the most exciting time of the year: the first Uranus-Pluto square will be taking place then, right near the summer solstice! And in this workshop, you will learn about one particular geocosmic signature that last about 6 weeks that has a 90+% correlation to big rallies in Gold and Silver, and will be coming up shortly after the seminar. Will you be ready? This will be special. You may also register by calling 31 (02) 294 415 917, or by fax at 31 (02) 294-415-918. Register now as seating is limited!

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, in Ann Arbor, MI, Holiday Inn. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology, Thursday, August 2, with Raymond Merriman. More details soon.

September 15-16, 2012: Troy, Michigan. OLMTA – the On-Line Market Timing Academy – will conduct it pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing." This will be an introductory course on how to read an ephemeris and how to calculate a critical reversal date. It is open to anyone, but understanding this material is mandatory for anyone entering the MMA mentor-apprenticeship program that will officially start in March 2013. This introductory workshop will be available as a live webinar too. The cost is $300 to subscribers of any MMA subscription report, or $395 to others. For further information, please contact mmacustomerservice@gmail.com or ordersmmma@msn.com.Or go to www.mmacycles.com, and scroll down to the bottom of the first page.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007-2012; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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