Friday, July 13, 2012

Sharp moves still likely in markets: Raymond Merriman's 7/16/12 week preview comments

Raymond Merriman warned about the intense price swings last week, let's see what he shares about upcoming times in the markets (thanks again, Ray!). These discussions of stocks, bonds, currencies, precious metals, crude oil, and other financial and economic matters are in addition to his analyses of other countries' markets, economy, and the social and political climate. Ray also provides detailed paid subscription services (daily, weekly and monthly) for the various markets, at his website always at the right side of the page. Here are Ray's comments for the upcoming week, from his site at Merriman Market Analyst - MMA Cycles Weekly Preview Comments:
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MMA Comments for the Week Beginning July 16, 2012


Written by Raymond Merriman

Review and Preview

This past week ended with perhaps one of the most pleasant solar-lunar combinations that takes place every year. This is when the Sun is located in Cancer and the Moon is in Taurus. That took place late Wednesday (Eastern daylight time) through Friday. That solar-lunar period is like a very peaceful calm within a greater geocosmic storm known as Mars in T-square to Uranus and Pluto.

But back to the calm in the middle of the storm… the Sun in Caner pertains to family, blood relations like mother-father, daughter-son, granddaughter-grandson, and deep heart relations from…. way back when, and so on. The Moon rules Cancer, so wherever it is this month – when the Sun is in Cancer - highlights a family sense of connection or remembrance, within principles of that current moon sign.

For instance, the Moon rules Cancer but is considered exalted when it is in Taurus, which is generally benevolent. So imagine every year there are 2-3 days during the period of June 20-21 through late July (July 21-22) when the Moon is exalted in Taurus, while at the same time the Sun is going through the Moon's ruling sign of Cancer. Those 2-3 days just transpired July 11-13. And both equity and precious metals' markets took a breather from their 19th nervous breakdown, where each was falling once again into Thursday, only to find a soft landing from which to recover nicely from late Thursday through Friday.

For those into Electional Astrology (the astrology on the art of selecting auspicious moments), I can think of no better time for any 1-3 days of the year in which to move into a new residence. So I did. And the move went relatively smoothly.

The Moon and its ruling sign of Cancer pertain to one's family and home, as well as way-back connections. When the Moon is Taurus, the sign of pleasure and strong values, it signifies an electionally favorable time for anything to do with homes and family, past and future.

Just remember one thing when making a plan based on basic astrological principles: if you have a wide choice on which day to move into a new abode, try your best to pick those 2-3 days during a year when the Sun is Cancer and Moon is Taurus. According to my understanding of Astrology, it doesn't get any better than that for starting new digs. It is especially nice right now, because at the same time Venus (ruler of Taurus and hence dispositor of the moon – because it is in Taurus) is conjunct Jupiter too. That is an additional combination of "good fortune."

Now I bring all this up because for the next week, you are going to hear a lot about Mercury turning retrograde, which indeed does take place from July 14 through August 8. That's a crazy enough period by itself, because it correlates to a turn-about in understanding, as in "misunderstandings." But this period may be especially crazy (after Moon leaves Taurus on Saturday, July 14), because on the same day, July 14, Uranus also turns retrograde. And that can be even crazier than Mercury turning retrograde. So they just stimulate one another to greater heights of brilliance and perhaps in some cases, over-stimulation of the thinking… to the point of becoming irrational and chaotic. But it may be even more than that, because 1) Uranus is freshly squared to Pluto, 2) this Pluto-in-Capricorn kicks Uranus' butt every time Uranus gets too out of bounds, and 3) Mars will be approaching its opposition to Uranus and T-square with Pluto on July 17-18 (Tuesday and Wednesday). Expect Uranus to get out of bounds with its aggression, and once again Pluto will come in to kick his butt shortly after. And this really starts late Saturday night into early Tuesday, when the Moon is in Gemini, home of that Mercury which turns retrograde, on same day as Uranus turning retrograde. My, how fast things could change from this Taurus Moon to Gemini Moon. If you blink, you might miss it, or some important facet of IT.

In terms of markets, we may have seen a nice soft landing in equities last Thursday when the Moon went into Taurus while the Sun was in Cancer. It found support, and had a nice bounce to close out the week. I am not so sure you will see anything remotely close to that early this next week.

Best Trades of the Past Week

Over the past few weekly columns, I have been inserting trading recommendations made to our subscribers in the prior week. Readers seem to like this type of information to just see how accurate these reports, based on our unique timing methods, have been in many cases.

Most of the markets we trade did not initiate new positions last week. The positions already taken include currencies. For example, our daily report has been short for both position and aggressive traders on the Euro currency, taken late last month around 1.2700. It continues to work out well as the Euro continued falling to a low so far of 1.2171 on Friday, July 13.

The weekly report had a good trade too last week in the Sept e-mini in the NASDAQ 100 (NQU) stating,"Position traders are still short with a stop-loss on a close above 2655 or weekly resistance. Aggressive traders are also still short, with a stop-loss now on a close above 2655. We want to exit Thursday at 2582 or better if offered. Wait until Thursday to exit, and only if prices are making new weekly lows then." The high of the week was 2625. On Thursday, it went down and made its weekly low – right on time - at 2516. It closed at 2537 that day and closed the week at 2577. So we made a nice profit on that position. Position traders are also still short the Swiss Franc and Euro-Yen on the weekly report from the highs of a couple of weeks ago, and getting very close to our exit point.

Short-Term Geocosmics

Heliocentric Mercury will end its bout through Sagittarius on Tuesday, July 17. This is also the day that Mars will square Pluto and trine Jupiter. The next day Mars will be in opposition to Uranus, which is part of the Arch Crawford "crash cycle" referred to last week. Given that the Moon is leaving the friendly domain of Taurus after Friday's close, and headed to the wacky and wild irrational brilliance of Gemini as we start next week (with Mercury and Uranus both turning retrograde), it could indeed correspond with a sharp reversal again. But it may just as quickly spring right back to life again as Jupiter heads to its sextile (favorable) to Uranus by next weekend, July 21.

There is a lot going on in the heavens right now. It is the first translation of a planet (Sun-Earth) to the Uranus-Pluto square since its first of seven square passages took place June 24. But as you can see, the nature of the planetary contacts forming now is on opposite sides of the spectrum. One half is conflicted and dramatic, and the other half is filled with surprisingly good news and developments. Financial markets usually respond with large price swings in short spans of time, known as whip-saws. Be careful of the whipsaws this week. Be careful of accidents, for anytime Mars and Uranus come together, it can be a period of unexpected dangers from Mother Nature or human aggressions. It a time of rebelliousness, when it is wiser to just not act on impulse in dealing with others. Think before acting out.

Longer-Term Thoughts:

Will return next week.

Announcements

The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions – the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report – will come out this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site, and an attachment via direct emails, for subscribers. This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, and Treasury Notes. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only, and will be available on Wednesday. For further information and subscription, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/mma-cycles-report/.

We are pleased to announce a new MMA Weekly report titled: MMA Weekly Treasuries, Soybeans, and Crude Oil Report. This will be a 3-5 page report offering comments, analysis, forecasts, and trading strategy for next week's market activity in the U.S. 10-Year T-Notes (Treasuries), Soybeans, and Crude Oil futures only. List of support/resistance areas, trend indicator points, geocosmic and lunar reversal points for the week, cycles phasing, and recommended buy and sell strategies. The cost is $750/yr or $250/3 months. We will offer a one-month trial subscription for $50.00, available only until August 15, as part of our introduction to this new service. Subscriptions are delivered by downloadable postings on the MMA Website, which is entered via your personal password. It is also delivered via an email attachment to all subscribers over the weekend before the market opens. You can sign up for this via ourwebsite at www.mmacycles.com under "Subscriptions."

In order to be a successful market timer using the principles of Financial Astrology, one needs to know how to read an ephemeris. For this purpose, MMA's Market Timing Academy (MMTA) will offer a pre-training course on "Beginning Principles of Financial Astrology for Financial Market Timing," September 15-16, in Troy, Michigan, at the Management Education Center of Michigan State University. This 10-12 hour course may be attended live, in person, or via webcast televised to your computer. An archive of this workshop will be available for 30 days afterwards to those who sign up. This workshop will basically train non-astrologers in the use of reading an ephemeris, which is the table of planetary positions for any given day. This is essential to anyone who wishes to understand how to find a geocosmic critical reversal date for financial markets. It is not a difficult task, but it does require some steps. This course (or audit of it) is a pre-requisite for anyone entering the MMTA market training course, which will begin in April 6-8, 2013, and will involve 8 weekends of study – 4 weekends each in 2013 and 2014. For more information and registration, please go to www.mmacycles.com (front page, near bottom). Or, http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/events/%93basic-principles-of-geocosmic-studies%94-workshop-september-15%1116,-2012/. The cost for the September 15-16 pre-training workshop is $395.00 ($300 for MMA subscribers), or $50.00 to take an Equivalency Exam for those who register by September 1. There will be an additional $50.00 late fee assessed for those who sign up afterwards. This cost will be deducted from the fee of the two-year training course to those who enroll in the MMTA 8-course program by October 15, 2012.

If you are an active short-term trader, or even if you are an investor who likes to keep up with our current thoughts on financial markets, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with position trading and aggressive trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: "I am really pleased with your recommendations through the Daily and Weekly Trade Recommendations. I have used them to trade gold and silver stocks in my IRA. In the last eight years I increased my account from $60,000 to $850,000. Thanks for your excellent publications." - Bryden C., Small Business Owner, Illinois.

The DVD of the Denver Workshop on Financial Market Timing is still available! This financial markets workshop offers a completely unique and original perspective, integrating 1) Market Timing studies, 2) Price Objective calculations, 3) Technical Analysis, 4) Pattern Recognition studies, and 5) Trend Analysis. The primary focus of this workshop is on Market Timing Studies, particularly Cycles Analysis and Geocosmic Studies, as leading indicators that identify when to anticipate a reversal in all financial markets. Gold and the U.S. stock market are studied in great detail, especially regarding their current status. There is a wealth of timely and valuable information in this DVD, especially pertaining to the forthcoming Uranus-Pluto square of June 24, 2012, lasting through March 2015, and the important Jupiter correlation to stock market cycles coming up August-November 2012 and March-May 2013. The cost for this 4-hour DVD is $180.00 plus postage. To order, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/multimedia/dvd-of-boulder-workshop-on-financial-market-timing!!!/. Or call Amber at 1-248-626-3034. If you are a trader or investor who appreciates the value of market timing – especially in the next few months – this is a presentation you will not want to miss!

Our 2012 MMA Catalogue is now out!! You can download this catalogue directly at http://www.mmacycles.com/index.php?option=com_docman&task=cat_view&gid=41&Itemid=63.

EVENTS:

August 2-6, 2012: Midwest Astrology Conference, Holiday Inn, 3600 Plymouth Rd, in beautiful Ann Arbor, Michigan. Pre-seminar workshop on Financial Astrology and Financial Market Timing with Raymond Merriman on Thursday, August 2. Featuring over 20 astrologers, including Michael Lutin, Chris McRae, Bob Thibodeau, Dennis Fairchild, Monica Dimino, Richard Smoot, Grace Morris and others. For more information, call 303-828-5445, 303-604-2777, or email macasrtrology@yahoo.com, or go to http://macastrology.tripod.com/.

September 15-16, 2012: Troy, Michigan. MMTA – the Merriman Market Timing Academy – will conduct its pre-curriculum introductory workshop on "Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing." Deadline for registration to this workshop is September 1, 2013. For further information, please visit http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/events/%93basic-principles-of-geocosmic-studies%94-workshop-september-15%1116,-2012/, or the bottom of the opening page on www.mmacycles.com. Or contact mmacustomerservice@gmail.com or ordersmmma@msn.com,

April 6-8, 2013: MMTA Course 1: "Cycles and Chart Patterns in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan. This will be the first of eight courses given by The Merriman Market Timing Academy (MMTA). It is available to those who attend onsite, or via a live webcast that will take place from 10:00 AM – 5:00 PM Saturday and Sunday, as well as Monday from 10:00 AM – 1:00 PM, followed by a two-hour exam for those wishing to receive a certificate upon the completion of the MMTA entire 8 course program. The raw footage will be available for review for attendees for the 30 days following this course.

June 15-17, 2013: MMTA Course 2: "Geocosmic Correlations to Long-Term Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

August 10-12, 2013: MMTA Course 3: "Geocosmic Correlations to Primary and Trading Cycles in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

October 12-14, 2013: MMTA Course 4: "Solar-Lunar Correlations to Short-Term Reversals in Financial Markets" with Raymond Merriman. Location: MEC Technical Center of Michigan State University, Troy, Michigan.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:

The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007-2011; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).

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