Long-term outlook
Posted: October 17th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »I personally trade in several time frames. One of these is quarterly. In order to do this I create a forecast which extends out six months. During the last year these forecasts have been quite good. I began sharing these on this thread at end of August, and the results have been accurate.
The fourth quarter of 2010 should continue higher into December 24 at a high in the area of 1300.
The first quarter of 2011 shows to trade lower at least into March. There could be some recovery at that time, but I have a couple months to prepare for that trade.
In the near-term, we are approaching a consolidation which is aptly timed to late October which is well known for sharp selloffs. At this time I only expect this move lower to be 15 to 20 SPX points, although more could develop. A five wave move higher will follow into December.
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