Showing posts with label Chartsedge daily. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Chartsedge daily. Show all posts

Tuesday, December 14, 2010

ChartsEdge sector trades for week of Dec. 13, 2010

Looks like Mike Korell has come up with something new to share at his public ChartsEdge page! Today, at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/
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ChartsEdge - Sector Trades for week of Dec13, 2010

Posted: December 14th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

These two trades are based on the BetaP sector trading data. The symbols are the Profunds sector funds I used to train the algorithm.

NDX (UOPIX)
Short Monday and Tuesday
Long Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday

Precious Metals (PMPIX)
Long Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday
Short Thursday and Friday

Monday, November 29, 2010

ChartsEdge trading commentary regarding market sectors and forecast correlations

This weekend Mike Korell has chosen to share at his public page a commentary about correlation of his forecasting tools with market sectors. Another new and interesting twist on using his forecasting tools for trading purposes (thanks again Mike)! This commentary is as it appears at his Daily Maps webpage, http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/:
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ChartsEdge: Sectors

Posted: November 28th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under: One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

Sectors on Monday
I decided to take a look at other sectors and how well they matched up to the BetaP data. I have always figured that the larger the market, the better would be the fit…. Not so true as I found out!

If a market is manipulated to any degree, that causes the relationship between the cause and effect to be skewed a bit. The S&P gets shoved around quite a bit actually. Small caps to a smaller degree. For example, the S&P has a Rho of .68 for the last month while the small caps have a Rho of .78. The correlation is obviously much higher.

Here is where it gets interesting… The best Correlation Coefficient I found was a .94 for oil and gas sector.

If I stick to Profunds sectors which are leveraged and have inverted versions, the sector choices for Monday are:

UKPIX - Ultra-short Japan
REPIX - Ultra Real Estate

Unfortunately, the BetaP shows OIl and Gas as flat on Monday.

Other high correlations include the US Dollar (which has no leveraged version at Profunds) and Treasury bond rates (once again, no leverage).

While I did not test all the funds, I thought I would mention the worst fit… the international fund. It had a Rho of a meager .62. If you think about it, thats not much worse than the S&P 500.

Monday, November 22, 2010

ChartsEdge intraday forecast for Nov. 22 stock market

The stock market seems like it doesn't want to give a classic sell-short swing trade trigger. Instead, any drop today and/or into Tuesday may be a dip buying opportunity to last a couple or few trading days. To add to the analytic commentaries we've posted, we're delighted also to include Mike Korell's intraday chart (see below - thanks again Mike!) which he's sharing publicly at his public maps site, http://www.chartsedge.com/wp

This is one of the additional types of forecast charts and commentaries he produces, especially for his subscribers. You can get more info at his website (also kept in the list at right) or by emailing him at forecasts@ChartsEdge.com
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ChartsEdge Forecast Commentary

Posted: November 21st, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

Monday, October 18, 2010

Buy dip next week and be bullish into December: ChartsEdge stock market forecast commentary

While many are now beginning to see the bullish strength of the stock market, there are reasons to expect a pullback. We'd thought that might occur today or this week. But aside from some chop that may occur this week, the pullback may be postponed to next week. Mike Korell of ChartsEdge is one of the talented forecasters saying this. Let's see what else he's saying at his webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/ (thanks again Mike!):
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Long-term outlook

Posted: October 17th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

I personally trade in several time frames. One of these is quarterly. In order to do this I create a forecast which extends out six months. During the last year these forecasts have been quite good. I began sharing these on this thread at end of August, and the results have been accurate.

The fourth quarter of 2010 should continue higher into December 24 at a high in the area of 1300.

The first quarter of 2011 shows to trade lower at least into March. There could be some recovery at that time, but I have a couple months to prepare for that trade.

In the near-term, we are approaching a consolidation which is aptly timed to late October which is well known for sharp selloffs. At this time I only expect this move lower to be 15 to 20 SPX points, although more could develop. A five wave move higher will follow into December.

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

ChartsEdge forecast commentary for Oct. 13

The stock market is clearly bullish, but will that continue higher into options expiration (opex) Friday? That's the question for many. For other traders, what spoke yesterday was the morning rebound from hourly chart support (moving averages, levels and Bollinger Bands) and now the S&P 500 looks to make 1168 support on the way to higher projections like the 1180 area (re-read Andre Gratian's update to understand how the market is testing support and resistance levels right now). This may take the QQQQ even closer to the 50.44 April high before the next pullback, which we've been thinking will occur next week. Thanks to Mike Korell, whose ChartsEdge week-ahead forecast showed good movement up this week which helped us prepare ... And here's his forecast commentary from his webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/ (thanks again Mike for allowing us to post this here). You'll find that his comments address not just today's map but the uncertainty about Friday too:
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ChartsEdge Forecast Commentary for October 13

Posted: October 12th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »


Friday, October 1, 2010

ChartsEdge Pattern Recognition Chart for 10/1 stock market movements

If you're a relatively recent visitor then you may not realize that Mike Korell (who operates the entirely separate market forecasting service, ChartsEdge) uses a variety of methods and publishes different types of market forecasts. One type is a fascinating prediction of intraday market movement utilizing beta particles (yes, it's true!). Another incorporates computer-aided analysis of market patterns to generate a probable "Pattern Recognition" path for the day or week ahead. You can learn more (and even subscribe in order to get more of his work) by visiting his main ChartsEdge.com site, as well as his public daily webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/

Below is what you'll see at his public daily webpage this morning (thanks again Mike for giving us license to share it here!):
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ChartsEdge Pattern Recognition Oct01

Posted: October 1st, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under: One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

This is a test of a new technique for creating the PR chart.

Pattern Recognition for Oct01

Pattern Recognition for Oct01


Wednesday, September 29, 2010

Market morning and ChartsEdge forecast commentary for 9/29

Folks, I've been almost sidelined due to working on, and sailing (yesss!!) my sailboat for days now.  I'll post Andre's update as soon as I can.  Although the stock market has been getting overbought, it's also been working toward Terry Laundry's new "T" time projection and we'll have to check on that today too.  The market's been moving bullishly as Andre's been projecting.  Separately, Tony Caldaro has been rather bullish on his main count too.  Certainly the $SPX gas been working Tony's 1136 pivot and support over 1143 does point higher (even though I'm starting to think I see five waves up getting close to done).  For now - thanks to Mike Korell of ChartsEdge, who's sharing the forecast commentary below at his ChartsEdge webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/
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Forecast Commentary for Wednesday, Sep29

Posted: September 29th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »


Monday, September 20, 2010

ChartsEdge stock market forecast commentary for 9/20

Folks, the stock market forecast commentary from Mike Korell's ChartsEdge is indicated below. First a few comments of my own. The bull-bear debate and tug-of-war has continued since the S&P 500 made that low retesting the 1040 area. I was looking for a bounce then, but honestly was surprised by how high it went for this long. Each day, watching for signs of slackening and reversal, those signs didn't appear, so the rally continued on. Now it's pushing the limits. Soon we may well see one of two things: a minor, corrective pullback before the bull resumes. Or a deeper correction that might surprise to the downside the way this rally surprised to the upside. Once we see a reversal pattern start, we'll go into the mode of watching for signs of either downside continuation, or a turn back up for the bulls. Fans of Terry Laundry's T Theory (Tm) should already have looked and listen to his technical outlook, addressing the stock market and other financial markets (including insights on real estate and gold), using the links at his site http://www.ttheory.com/. There really are some big-picture big debates about what's coming out of the trading range! Later today I'll post Andre Gratian's Turning Points update that discusses his own views, too, with technical analysis and projections.

So for now, let's turn back to what Mike Korell is generously sharing from his public webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/
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ChartsEdge Forecast Commentary for Sep20

Posted: September 20th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell |
Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »

Tuesday, September 7, 2010

ChartsEdge forecast commentaries for the S&P 500 and stock markets, 9/6

Hmm, if we start the day with a drop or pullback, then will the market actually go upward intraday? Well we might have to think about that. Or look for an intraday low and see how the market reacts to that. It's another dicey time, folks; and I'll post Andre Gratian's update later today (too much boat time this past weekend - if there can be such a thing!). Meantime thanks once again to Mike Korell - sone of his work is quite mathematical, but always food for thought. As for his projection of the $SPX - it's a good possibility, though some might prefer to wait and see about breakout levels - think about your trading style. The items below are from Mike's webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/:
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Tone of the Market

Posted: September 6th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »




Long-Term SPX

Posted: September 6th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »


Wednesday, September 1, 2010

ChartsEdge forecast commentary for Sept. 1

Thanks once again to Mike Korell for this insight for stock market movements! From his webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/
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ChartsEdge Forecast Commentary for September01

Posted: September 1st, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under:One-Day Market Map | No Comments »


Tuesday, August 31, 2010

ChartsEdge forecast commentary for Aug. 31

People were talking about an apparent double bottom at the end of last week but the ChartsEdge cycle-based week-ahead forecast suggested this weekend that another test of $SPX 1040 would occur. Yesterday made that seem like it could happen fast. ChartsEdge subscribers got to see Mike Korell's day chart for yesterday that forecast the slope down remarkably well. Today he is sharing his day chart and comments at his webpage at http://www.chartsedge.com/wp/ - thanks once again Mike!
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ChartsEdge Forecast Commentary for Tuesday Aug 31

Posted: August 30th, 2010 | Author: Mike Korell | Filed under: One-Day Market Map | No Comments »