=============
MMA Comments for the Week Beginning April 18, 2011
Written by Raymond Merriman
The Market Week in Review
The April 1 critical reversal date was a valid Financial Astrology turning point after all. It was an exact hit on the Japanese Nikkei recovery rally, and within the following three days, it also marked a new 2-year high in the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russian Micex stock indices. Several other equity markets also made recovery highs from their March lows within three trading days of April 1. Most then commenced a modest decline that lasted into the end of last week. There is no confirmation that it is over yet, although several indices were up nicely on Friday.
In Europe, the Netherlands AEX and German DAX rallied sharply from their lows of March 15-16 to their recent highs on April 6. The recovery highs in the London FTSE and Swiss SMI ended a day or afterwards. In all cases, the rallies from the lows of mid-March were over 8%. But then all four indices declined into the latter part of last week.
In Asia and the Pacific Rim, the greatest decline of course had occurred in Japan, where the Nikkei fell from a high of 10,891 on February 17 to a low of 8227 on March 15, a drop of nearly 25%. It recovered to 9822 on April 1, a gain of nearly 20%. Each of these dates was within our last three geocosmic critical reversal zones, showing once again the value of Financial Astrology as a consistent and accurate market timing tool. The recovery highs in the Micex and India's NIFTY indices were on April 6, three trading days afterwards. For the MICEX, it was a new two-year high, but not so on the NIFTY, whose high remains back on November 8. The Hang Seng of Hong Kong and All Ordinaries of Australia made their ne cycle highs on Monday, April 11, which was the midpoint of the current Mercury retrograde period, as was also the case on the London FTSE. As discussed previously, many financial markets that not reverse at the time Mercury turned retrograde will make a brief but sharp reversal in the middle of the Mercury retrograde zone. That was the case with the Hang Seng, FTSE, and several other non-equity financial markets.
In the Americas, we already noted the new 2-year high in the DJIA on April 6. The NASDAQ, Bovespa of Brazil, and Merval of Argentina also made cycle highs then, but none took out their highs of the year. Thus we have a case of intermarket bearish divergence in effect from our April 1 geocosmic critical reversal date, +/- 3 trading days, in the Americas.
The brief but sharp reversal coinciding with the last weekend's midpoint of Mercury retrograde was most noticeable in Gold and Crude Oil. Gold made a new all-time at 1476 on Monday, April 11, and then fell $30.00 into the next day. However, by Friday, April 15, Gold was making another new all-time at 1488. Crude Oil, on the other hand, topped out at 113.46 on April 11, followed by a sharp drop back to 105.13 on April 13. By Friday, April 15, Crude Oil was back up, testing 110.00.
The big story again, however, was the Silver market. It continues to defy gravity, soaring to nearly 4300 on Friday, April 15. The thing that is so interesting is that Silver was trading below 1750 in late July, which was right in the middle of the Cardinal Climax astrological midpoint. Perhaps more than any other financial vehicle, Silver has epitomized the ideal pattern of the "Asset Inflation Express" signified by Jupiter and Uranus moving into Aries, which actually started in early June 2010 when Silver was slightly lower, around 1720. Crude Oil is another good example of the "Asset Inflation Express" that took off during the same period, and is continuing through these current times. But back to Gold and Silver… one worrisome note is that the XAU Gold and Silver Mining index is not making new highs, as both Gold and Silver continue to soar. The XAU index is still well below the 232.72 high of January 27, 2011, now trading slightly below 220. This has to change soon, or the intermarket bearish divergence pattern may set in and lead to a nasty correction.
One another interesting correlation of geocosmic activity to current times can be noted in an April 13 article of the Wall Street Journal, titled "Atlas Gives Scientists New View of the Brain." The Journal reports, "… the atlas offers researchers a powerful new tool to understand where and how genes are at work in the brain. That could help them find new clues to conditions… such as Alzheimer's disease, autism, and mental health disorders like depression." Once again this relates to the Moon's North Node passing over the Galactic Center at 26-27 degrees of Sagittarius, a celestial sector described in these columns over the past two weeks as correlating with the Universal Mind, and the origination of new discovery or ideas on the nature of life itself.
Short-Term Geocosmics
The current Mercury retrograde period ends this week. And as it ends, there are a slew of other powerful geocosmic signatures taking place nearby. The first is the Mars-Saturn opposition of April 18. This is a Level 1 signature as identified in "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles." Level One signatures are the most powerful and consistent astrological correlates to reversals in financial markets. This one has an 82% correlation to primary or greater cycles within an orb of 11 trading days. In the field of Mundane Astrology, it contains the dynamics of confrontation, as in military threats or political angst and arguments. It also corresponds to unseasonable temperatures, coinciding with peaks in grain prices within two weeks.
On Wednesday, April 20, the Sun changes from Aries to Taurus, and Venus changes from Pisces to Aries. Investors' attention is now likely to shift from one area of concern to another. With Taurus and its ruler Venus involved, and both ruling finances, it is not hard to guess which area of concern will now be on investors' minds in the next month (i.e. budget, debt, etc.). Venus rules money and Aries can pertain to fights, so…. Fights over money will likely be highlighted.
On Friday, April 22, Venus will occupy the same part of the sky as Uranus, planet of chaos, independence, and excitement. Expect new ideas to be proposed on the budget and debt ceiling, and once again quickly dismissed by the opposition. This may also coincide with the next big debt explosion involving other countries or banks in the world, +/- 2 weeks. Venus-Uranus in conjunction is another Level 1 signature correlating with reversals in stock prices. That same day, April 22, Mercury turns direct.
Venus isn't done highlighting the agenda for the next two weeks. On April 27, it will form a waxing square to Pluto (debt), followed by an opposition to Saturn (not enough love or money) on April 30. Both of these are also Level 1 signatures with over a 70% correspondence to primary or greater cycles in stocks within 13 trading days. For those who study astrology, you will recognize that Venus is forming a powerful T-square pattern to Uranus, Pluto, and Saturn, April 22-30. This is a tough sledding for compromises and agreements. But the good news is that May looks much more conducive to a change in positions. It might just represent the best month, the best chance, for our elected representatives to come to a budget agreement, and thus prevent the shutdown of the USA government and the default on its debt that is now scheduled to take place in the first week of July.
Well, at least there is no retrograde Mercury between May and July 8. As proven once again in the last week following the 2011 budget agreement of the last hour on April 8 before a shutdown, no one is happy with the decision both parties came to under Mercury retrograde. It was roundly criticized as too much "giving in" by members of both parties. Yet they voted it in anyway.
There will be no "Longer-Term Thoughts" this week due to workshop presentations in Kansas City, Missouri. Have a wonderful week, and watch for a host of potentially profitable trading opportunities coming up during the next ten days.
Announcements
Special Offer!!! Good while supplies last! New subscribers to any MMA subscription services will receive FREE one copy of the "English version only" of the Forecasts 2011 Book (postage cost not included). This offer is available to all MMA subscription reports, except 2-issue trials of the MMA Cycles Report. This offer ends when the remaining copies are sold out, and it does not apply to the foreign translated versions unless announced on their respective websites. To get your free copy of Forecasts 2011 with a subscription to an MMA reports, simply go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services/. When you place order, mention "special offer" under the comments section of your order. Or call us at 1-248-626-3034.
The monthly MMA Cycles Report and its companions – the MMA Japan Cycles Report and MMA European Cycles Report – came out last week. The MMA Cycles Report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. The MMA Japan Cycles report covers the Nikkei, JGB Bonds, and the Dollar-Yen. The new MMA European Cycles Report covers the German DAX, Swiss SMI, and Netherlands AEX, each in English only, and will be available on Wednesday. For further information and subscription, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/catalogue/subscription-services/mma-cycles-report/. If you subscribe to either of these reports and did not receive it, please contact us at once. And remember: if you sign up for this report now, you will receive a free copy of the English version of the Forecast 2011 Book while supplies last!
If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis, as I no longer offer personal consultations. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, Euro-Yen cash, T-Notes, Soybeans, Crude Oil, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Both reports provide trading strategies and recommendations for position traders as well as for shorter-term aggressive traders. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. These reports are extremely valuable to those who trade ETF's (Exchange Traded Funds). In the words of one of our subscribers: "I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them."
The Forecast 2011 Book is still available in both printed edition and electronic book format. The remaining printed copies are currently $55.00, but will be marked down to $40.00 beginning May 1, then $35.00 June 1, and finally to $30.00 on July 1, should any copies still be available. The electronic book version of the book is also available via I Pad, the I Phone 4, and Amazon Kindle, but those prices cannot be changed The Amazon Kindle edition is available to anyone anywhere in the world. Just go to their bookstore and type in "Raymond Merriman" or "Forecast 2011." It is available in Spanish as well. It is also available via ITunes if you have the Apple I Pad or I Phone 4. Both the English and Spanish versions are available in this format to any resident of Australia, Canada, France, Germany, United Kingdom, or the United States. If you are not a resident of these countries, you can still order it if you have an email address registered via one of these countries. Just go to ITunes, and then "Library," then "Store," then in the field titled "Search," type in "Forecast 2011" or "Raymond Merriman" (without quotation marks).
The printed version of the Forecast 2011 Book is also still available in Chinese, Swiss, Dutch, Japanese, Spanish, and Russian versions. The Chinese book contains an analysis of the Hang Seng stock market. The Japanese Book contains an analysis of the Nikkei index. We are pleased to announce that that this year's book may be purchased at these websites, and in these languages: Chinese: at http://www.zzdcycles.com Dutch: at www.markettiming.nl German: at http://www.mma-europe.ch/ Japanese: at http://merriman.jp Russian: at http://www.mmafinance.ru/ Spanish: at www.mmacycles-spanish.com
The final Volume 5 of "The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing" series is nearly finished. This will complete a project started in 1996. The previous 4 volumes have been on "when" to buy and sell, or how to forecast a future cycle low or high. This last volume addresses the subject of "where" to buy and sell, or "forecasting price targets." It is the missing link. It details the mathematical formulas and technical studies used to enhance timing of entry and exit in any market, but especially stock indices. The book is expected to be out sometime between August-November 2011. If you have any of the first four volumes, you will soon be receiving a special pre-publication offer for advanced orders (or call us to place your order if you want to make sure you are on the list). We should point out that Volumes 2 and 3 will probably be sold out before this new volume comes out. There are less than 25 copies of each available. We will allow them to remain out of print for awhile before reprinting.
I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won't manage other people's money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one's portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to MMA services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O'Neill of Capstone Capital Wealth Management, Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 247-0600. Duke will be with us in Kansas City for those who wish to personally meet him. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. He is also the individual who first introduced me to the idea of "Asset Inflation Express" back in 2009. I would also like to recommend long-term MMA subscriber Erwin Brunner of Zurich, Switzerland. Mr. Brunner is the founder of BrunnerInvest AG. One of his five funds was awarded the "Best in-house fund of funds" in the world recently. Mr. Brunner is a former director of the Swiss Banking Corporation (today it is known as UBS), and a general director of Rothschild Bank in Zurich. As an independent wealth manager for high net worth individuals and institutional clients only, he places his clients into the funds of the best performing fund managers in the world, via his own research and experience. For high net worth readers interested in Mr. Brunner's funds, you may contact him through www.brunnerinvest.ch.
Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.
This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author's understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle's analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.
It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.
No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.
Copyright MMACycles 2007; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).
Archives
Previous weeklies (2006) are archived at www.olmta.com
For other language editions of MMA´s weekly comments:
- Chinese : www.zzdcycles.com
- Dutch : www.markettiming.nl (Nederlands)
- German : www.mma-europe.ch (Deutch)
- Japanese : www.merriman.jp
- Polish : www.astrobiznes.pl (Polska)
- Russian : www.urania.ru
- Serbian : www.mma-balkan.com
- Spanish : www.mmacycles-spanish.com (Español)
Posts
No comments:
Post a Comment