Friday, September 18, 2009

Have financial markets just reached a major cycle crest? Weekly preview comments by Raymond Merriman

Raymond Merriman has issued his weekly preview comments for the week ahead, always available in the "Weekly Preview" section of his http://www.mmacycles.com/ website (which is always included in the "other sites of interest" at the right side of the page here). Last week he made some remarkable comments about cycles and signatures to occur this week - let's see what he says about that now:
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Comments for the Week Beginning September 21, 2009
Written by Raymond Merriman

Review and Preview

Stock markets around the world continued making new highs for 2009 last week as the middle of the five Saturn-Uranus oppositions unfolded last Tuesday. Three things are important to note here for Financial Astrologers. The first is that equity markets did not reverse exactly on the day of this major 45-year geocosmic cycle, but the orb of influence is still in effect. Second, although astrological dynamics are used to identify “critical reversal periods” for financial markets, the truth is that they do not always apply to financial markets. They do apply to collective psychology, and oftentimes they manifest as fundamental shifts in governmental or economic directions. These shifts usually correlate with reversals in financial markets (about 82% rate of frequency, according to reported studies). But the relationship is an indirect one. Reversals in financial markets are one of the areas that are usually impacted by geocosmic signatures, but it would be erroneous to assume that such geocosmic signatures always - and only – correlate to this area of human activity. For instance, one will note there was a very significant reversal in the world political arena last week, as the USA shelved its plan for building a missile shield defense system in Poland. But as important as this change was, it did not coincide with a reversal in world equity markets. In fact, equities prices continued higher after the announcement.

On the ISAR Financial Astrology email digest (http://www.isarastrology.com/), Elizabeth Gregory correctly points out a third important point. She observed that heliocentric conjunction of Jupiter and Neptune is unfolding now. It takes place on Saturday, September 19. As stated previously, the geocentric conjunction of Jupiter and Neptune happens three times in 2009: May 27, July 10, and December 21. Most of our studies are from the geocentric view, i.e. the position of planets as seen from Earth. But there is also a logical basis for considering the heliocentric perspective, i.e. the position of planets as seen from the Sun, the center of our solar system. Jupiter and Neptune in either system – geocentric or heliocentric –is a time when collective psychology can be unrealistically optimistic, or entering a period of hysteria and panic. So far this year, the Jupiter-Neptune conjunctions seem to correlate with the more optimistic expression, as stock prices continue to rally as if gravity is being defied. There have been very few corrections since the lows of early March, except in the case of June 11 through July 13, which was the retrograde conjunction of geocentric Jupiter and Neptune. But even that was a relatively mild correction, followed by another rally to new highs into this heliocentric conjunction period.

For the week, every index we track rallied to a new high for 2009 last Thursday or Friday. All are now up approximately 50% or more since their lows of last October or March, supporting the idea that this is the first phase of a new 4-year cycle. The first phase of any cycle is bullish. But now we are already meeting our minimum price criterion for a 4-year cycle crest (50% off the low). How much longer will it last? The current signatures indicate the need to be very careful now, for as stated last week, “… the biggest signature of all is the third (of five) passage of the Saturn-Uranus opposition on September 15, followed by the translation of the Sun in conjunction to Saturn (opposite Uranus) on September 17. This translation too can coincide with a crest, for it is happening under a new moon the next day, September 18, which forms a favorable trine aspect to the natal Sun in the NYSE chart (May 17, 1792).” With heliocentric Jupiter also conjoining Neptune this weekend, we are right in the thick of geocosmic activity. Our studies also show that with such slow moving planets as Jupiter and Neptune, as well as Saturn and Uranus, it can take up to 12 trading days for these “energies” to translate into market reversals. Nevertheless, early signs of reversals are already showing up in precious metals and currencies (against the US Dollar), which realized their highest price of this current move so far on Thursday, September 17.

Short-Term Geocosmics
The intensity of geocosmic activity discussed for last week continues into this week. As just discussed, heliocentric Jupiter forms its 13-year conjunction to Neptune this Saturday, September 19. The next day, Venus will leave Leo and ingress into Virgo until October 14. Since Venus rules values – like money or currency – it is possible bankers could begin to initiate activities to support the Dollar, which is once again on the precipice of falling off the cliff, and starting a crisis. On Tuesday, the Sun will cross over into Libra, marking the vernal equinox, always an important seasonal change, and potential change in market psychology. This also marks the halfway point of the zodiac, and it is interesting to note that as we approach it, the DJIA has now appreciated about 50% since its low of March 6 when Venus turned retrograde. Venus rules Libra. On Wednesday, September 23, the Sun in Libra will square Pluto in Capricorn.

This will mark the end of the Sun’s translation to Saturn, Uranus, and Pluto in hard aspect. It will also set off the “Cardinal Climax” dynamic that is so important right now, 2008 through 2015. But it is especially important right now for this Cardinal Climax heavily aspects the charts of the United States, the Federal Reserve Board, President Barack Obama, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, and Defense Secretary Robert Gates. One or more of these entities could be in for a shocking revelation. But with Pluto (secrecy) and Mercury retrograde (possible deflection of attention and information) involved, will the public be privy to it?

Longer-Term Thoughts
Last week’s column stated, “The other dangers under this current Saturn-Uranus opposition are related to the new moon (conjunct Saturn) and Mercury retrograde. The new moon in late Virgo indicates a push towards consensus on the part of government leaders, for this new moon is halfway through the zodiac (wish for consensus and agreement). New ideas are likely to be announced in the next 1-2 weeks, and in some regards, they will appear to be good ideas. But more than likely, the details won’t work smoothly, per Mercury Rx. If the parties involved are truly willing to compromise and modify these terms, then the bigger issues might still be resolved.” This was very much in evidence last week, as an effort towards cooperation and consensus was initiated by the White House announcement to scrap its missile-defense plans, as well as Senator Max Baucus’s announced health care plan. Both received the expected criticism, but nevertheless, they were starts toward something potentially positive. Both will require modification in the days ahead in order to achieve their intended purpose, and both will continue to be subjected to efforts designed to derail them altogether.

Let’s consider only the first decision. Is the shelving of the missile defense system for Central Europe a “good” reversal of policy? It depends on your values, and how you view the world today. If you are truly trying to reset favorable relations between the USA and Russia, it makes sense, especially given that under the Saturn-Uranus opposition, tensions historically tend to soar between the two nations. It also makes sense if your priority is to achieve military victory in Afghanistan, for Russia controls the northern routes into Afghanistan that the USA needs. Without Russia’s cooperation in opening up those routes, the prospect of military success is sharply reduced. Obama’s entire credibility as a Commander in Chief depends upon his success in this war against the Taliban and Al Qaeda. As he prepares to expand the USA military presence there (i.e. another “surge” of military combatants), he is serious about establishing his credibility in this role. He needs to show signs of progress fast, for even leaders in his own party are starting to waver in their support. This is a step in that direction. Yet at the same time, such military buildup is not going over well amongst his most ardent supporters, who want “no more war.” Astrologically, this relates to the 78-year progression of retrograde Mars in the USA chart that started in 2008. But there is another spin on this Mercury retrograde decision that can be played by the Administration, and this has to do with the even longer-term astrological cycle of Uranus in Pisces, while Neptune is in Aquarius – mutual reception. These two placements signify the very large wish for world peace. By shelving the missile-defense system in Central Europe, the White House can claim this is an important first step in its commitment towards nuclear disarmament. The only problem is: who do you trust? As stated in Friday’s Wall Street Journal editorial, this could easily get interpreted as a trend towards “… courting adversaries while smacking allies. His (Obama’s) administration has sought warmer ties with Iran, Burma, North Korea, Russia, and even Venezuela. But it has picked trade fights with Canada and Mexico, sat on trade treaties with Columbia and South Korea, battled Israel over West Bank settlements….” and now courts the scorn of Poland and the Czech Republic – “… both governments (who) took huge political risks in order to accommodate the U.S., which wanted the system to defend against a possible Iranian missile attack.” In the words of Jan Vidim, a conservative Czech lawmaker, “If the Administration approaches us in the future with any request, I would be strongly against it.”

So there you have it for this important week just gone by - a decision that some will say is a monumental step towards world peace (per Uranus and Neptune in mutual reception), and others who will claim is a huge step backwards that will jeopardize the USA safety and that of its closest allies (progressed Mars retrograde in the USA chart). And it is all happening under Mercury retrograde, during the middle of the Saturn-Uranus opposition. Maybe it won’t correlate with a reversal in financial markets. But it sure looks like a reversal in world politics, and perhaps the start of real shift in world power.

Announcements

The September issue of the MMA Cycles Report, and its companion the MMA Japan Cycles Report, will be issued this week, Monday and Tuesday, via posting on our web site for subscribers. This report covers our longer-term analysis of the U.S. stock market, precious metals, crude oil, currencies, Treasury Notes, and grain markets. For subscription information, please go to SERVICES at
www.mmacycles.com.

We are pleased to announce that the Spanish publication of “Basic Principles of Geocosmic Studies for Financial Market Timing” has just been completed. This first edition in Spanish will be in print in 10 days. For more information and ordering, please contact
www.mmacycles-spanish.com.

It’s that time of the year again! Pre-publication orders for next year’s annual Forecast 2010 Book can now be placed. And once again there will be a discount to those who order before October 15. The retail price of the Forecast 2010 Book will be $55.00 this year. However, for orders placed before October 15, the special pre-publication rate is $45.00 (plus postage). Although 2009 is only approximately half over, the 2009 book has already been one the most accurate of all that have been written in the past 33 years. A list of many of those forecasts outlined in the 2009 book that have already come to pass is listed on our web site at http://www.mmacycles.com/. And the critical reversal dates given for at least three of the markets have been 100% so far (Stocks, Currencies, precious metals), including the high and low of the year in many markets. As always, the book is published and mailed out around December 15. Your pre-order helps us determine how many to print. Please note that the Forecast books have sold out by the end of February in three of the past 4 years. So, order now and save big bucks, and also make sure you reserve a copy before they sell out! Once they are gone, they are gone. There are no second printings, although you can probably pick up “out of print” copies on various web sites for three times the cost afterwards. This year we are pleased to announce that you may order the Forecast 2010 book in five other languages besides English, as follows: Japanese (
http://merriman.jp), Dutch (www.markettiming.nl), Spanish (www.mmacycles-spanish.com), German (www.mma-europe.ch), in Serbian (www.mma-balkan.com), and in Russian at www.urania.ru. These same sites also offer our weekly column in their respective languages.

Our once-a-year fall special for MMA subscription reports is on! If you are an active short-term trader, you will be interested in a special offer now available for our Weekly and/or Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations. If you order a year’s subscription of any of these reports with the 2010 Forecast Book prior to October 15, you will receive a 10% discount off the current price. After that, the prices for our daily and weekly reports will increase by 20-50% and the discount period will come to an end. The full MMA Weekly report, for example is currently $1000/year, and will increase to $1500/year after October 15. But prior to that, the cost will be 10% off $1000, or $900, if ordering with Forecast 2010. Additionally, by subscribing now, you will lock into these current rates for future renewals too! These reports represent the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or weekly basis. The weekly report provides in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. On October 15, we will also add Crude Oil. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to
http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers: “I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them.”

If you are an active short-term trader, you may be interested in our Weekly or even Daily Market reports with short-term trading recommendations. It is the only way I keep in touch with traders on a daily or even weekly basis. These reports give in-depth analysis of the DJIA, S&P and NASDAQ futures, Euro currency (cash and futures), Swiss Franc, Dollar/Yen cash and Yen futures, T-Notes, Corn, Soybeans, Wheat, Gold and Silver. The daily reports cover all stock indices listed above, as well as futures in Euro, T-Notes, Soybeans, Gold and Silver. Subscription to the daily report also includes the weekly report. For more information, go to http://www.mmacycles.com/services, or call our offices at 1-248-626-3034. In the words of one of our subscribers: “I recently subscribed to your weekly report and am finding it to be excellent and a very useful companion to the MMA Cycles Report. I can't imagine now managing my investments without them.”

The DVD of the Financial Astrology workshop in Chicago is now available for purchase. The cost is $175.00 and includes a PDF file of the graphics used in the class. Some people learn best with visuals like DVD’s, or courses like this one, and others learn best from books. But this workshop clearly lays out the basic methodology of combining cycles studies with geocosmic studies to forecast market trends as well as critical reversal dates for any market. The emphasis in this workshop was on the U.S. stock market and Gold. To order, contact our office at 1-248-626-3034 or email Amber at
ordersmma@msn.com. It may take a week before it is up on our web site and shopping cart. If you wish a tool to help you understand how to apply Financial Astrology effectively with trading techniques, then this DVD is a must. Soon. The CD on the talk “The Cardinal Climax” will be available shortly too. We will post it on the http://www.mmacycles.com/ shopping cart as soon as it is ready.

I am oftentimes asked for recommendations of a money manager who uses my methods, since I won’t manage other people’s money. The thing is, almost all money managers I know use their own systems. But many subscribe to my services and share my thoughts about the future of the economy, various financial markets, and how to position one’s portfolio along these lines. One money manager who subscribes to our services that I would suggest for those looking to structure a longer-term portfolio, such as a retirement account, is Duke O’Neill of Boulder, Colorado. He can be reached at
dukeoneil1@gmail.com, or 1-(303) 817-8263. For those looking for a professional trader of commodity and futures contract might consider Ted Lee Fisher at ted.fisher@comcast.net. Ted is a legend in financial futures and has a seat on the CME. Both are very knowledgeable of the tools I use, of the way I am looking at markets, and yet each makes their own decisions as to exactly when to enter and exit any market.

Our weekly comments can now be read in Russian at www.urania.ru, Japanese (http://merriman.jp), Serbian (www.mma-balkan.com), Spanish (www.mmacycles-spanish.com), German (www.mma-europe.ch), French www.lecochonsideral.info, and Dutch at (www.markettiming.nl).

We are pleased to announce our new official Japanese web site at
http://merriman.jp/. Here you can read our free weekly report in Japanese every week. You can purchase several of our books and subscription reports in Japanese, including or new weekly Gold report, Cash Currencies report, and both the MMA Cycles and MMA Japanese Markets Cycles reports. If you read Japanese, please feel free to check out this new site, created by Toshi Nippou Ltd. of Tokyo.

We are also pleased to announce the formation of our new Weekly Cash Currencies Report in English. This report will cover our weekly analysis of cash Euro Currency, the Dollar-Yen, and the Euro-Dollar markets. For further in formation on this new subscription report, please visit www.mmacycles.com, and look under SERVICES.

The German version of “Merriman on Market Cycles: The Basics” is now in print. It is also a revision of the earlier work in English. For more information on this book, please go to our German web site at
http://www.mma-europe.ch/.

We have added a valuable new feature to our web site. Now, on the very front page, you can get a daily update on the weighted values of the Solar-Lunar cycles for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Silver market, via the studies conducted in “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing Vol 4: Solar-Lunar Correlations to Trading Cycles,” and “The Sun, Moon and Silver Market: Secrets of a Silver Trader.” These are the studies I use personally for short-term trading of stock index futures, ETFs (like DIA and Silver fund), and Silver futures. Anything over 100 means it has an above-average correlation to reversing from an isolated high or low if it forms that day. The higher the value, the more probable the reversal. To see these daily values, please go to
http://www.mmacycles.com/, and just check it out on the top of the page.

Disclaimer and statement of purpose:
The purpose of this column is not to predict the future movement of various financial markets. However, that is the purpose of the MMA (Merriman Market Analyst) subscription services. This column is not a subscription service. It is a free service, except in those cases where a fee may be assessed to cover the cost of translating this column from English into a non-English language.

This weekly report is written with the intent to educate the reader on the relationship between astrological factors and collective human activities as they are happening. In this regard, this report will oftentimes report what happened in various stock and financial markets throughout the world in the past week, and discuss that movement in light of the geocosmic signatures that were in effect. It will then identify the geocosmic factors that will be in effect in the next week, or even month, or even years, and the author’s understanding of how these signatures will likely affect human activity in the times to come. The author (Merriman) will do this from a perspective of a cycle’s analyst looking at the military, political, economic, and even financial markets of the world.

It is possible that some forecasts will be made based on these factors. However, the primary goal is to both educate and alert the reader as to the psychological climate we are in, from an astrological perspective. The hope is that it will help the reader understand these psychological dynamics that underlie (or coincide with) the news events and hence financial markets of the day.

No guarantee as to the accuracy of this report is being made here. Any decisions in financial markets are solely the responsibility of the reader, and neither the author nor the publishers assume any responsibility at all for those individual decisions. Reader should understand that futures and options trading are considered high risk.

Copyright MMACycles 2007-2009; you may link to this site or page, but you may not distribute these texts in any way (by email or otherwise).
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